@mtm1m

#3,021,98128

0x60ece66980b57e441ed2f335a63573f1f20f8d4c

~49d· 304 markets · 2024 tradesVol: $104,5782026-08-05 02:48:55
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

28
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

59% (177/300)14.5/20
0.48x (win $1,203 / loss $2,517)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -6.3910/15
Sortino -6.4110/10
$-0.1363 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 266 (300 markets)10/10
19/45 profitable days (42%)3.1/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($1,386 / $0)0/10

Badges

3
DCA Master
Avg 6.7 entries/market
Win Streak
9 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

7
🎭 CULTURE#800,218$-294Vol: $41,570
CRYPTO#1,614,251$-900Vol: $30,120
🌤️ WEATHER#292,903$-279Vol: $23,265
🏛️ POLITICS#128,922$22Vol: $3,596
SPORTS#1,590,207$-49Vol: $2,975
💰 FINANCE#373,140$-0Vol: $21
📈 ECONOMICS#243,622$0Vol: $2

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-2,926
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$104,578
Total Redeem
$305
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
304
total markets
Trades
877B / 1147S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~49d

Periods

#2
Today
$-4
Vol: $127
Week
$3
Vol: $1,929
Month
$-499
Vol: $5,558
All Time
$-2,926
Vol: $104,578

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
58%
173W / 123L events
Realized PnL
$-2,926
Win Rate
58%
173W / 123L
Profit Factor
0.48x
Avg Win
$7
Avg Loss
$-22

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $377 (0.12882684886745438% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?$156
Ethereum Up or Down - August 1, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET$146
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET$75
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on July 7?$70
Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from July 10 to July 17, 2026?$51
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Milwaukee Brewers$38
Solana Up or Down - July 22, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET$35
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET$31
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 13 to July 15, 2026?$27
Will White House post 140-159 posts from July 10 to July 17, 2026?$26

Top Losers

Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from July 3 to July 10, 2026?$-350
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?$-322
Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from July 7 to July 14, 2026?$-247
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?$-145
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$-134
Solana Up or Down - August 1, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET$-124
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET$-98
Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Phillies$-91
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET$-82
Colorado Rockies vs. Toronto Blue Jays$-81

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.331
Sortino
-0.304
HHI
231
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.135
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
7.1%
Top-5 markets
25.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
4.1
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.6
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
18:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
48.1m
between trades
Night Trading
24%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.35
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
5 min
Avg Trades / Session
16.1

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 89s — normal for humanCV 2.35 — diverse sizes (human-like)24% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock4 trades/day — normal0.6 markets/day — normal44% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 18:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
6.7
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)16.8%
Mid (20-55c)27.6%
High (>55c)55.6%

Sessions

#12
7/10/2026, 3:53:56 PM12 trades$1,7872 min
4/1/2026, 8:03:23 PM21 trades$1,59320 min
5/3/2026, 6:58:14 AM98 trades$1,3431 min
3/31/2026, 1:55:37 PM81 trades$66458 min
3/31/2026, 3:59:45 PM58 trades$56027 min
7/16/2026, 6:59:25 AM12 trades$4943 min
7/14/2026, 2:10:05 PM18 trades$4678 min
7/30/2026, 1:11:05 PM46 trades$4461 min
7/14/2026, 10:35:19 AM17 trades$4374 min
3/31/2026, 4:40:55 PM10 trades$4007 min
3/31/2026, 7:02:53 AM1 trades$3700 min
4/1/2026, 6:18:55 PM13 trades$31810 min
4/1/2026, 11:38:13 AM2 trades$3060 min
4/1/2026, 7:44:41 PM5 trades$3003 min
7/12/2026, 6:26:05 PM7 trades$2974 min
7/30/2026, 9:33:59 AM7 trades$2840 min
7/8/2026, 6:14:01 PM3 trades$2610 min
4/1/2026, 9:34:59 PM7 trades$2604 min
8/1/2026, 3:58:26 AM32 trades$2204 min
7/31/2026, 5:02:18 AM23 trades$1995 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-30
04-06
05-11
07-08
07-16
07-27
08-03
08-05

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
4% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
56.7% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 6.7/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L16.8 / M27.6 / H55.6