@mtm3

#2,774,95473

0x54a51bfc0cde247b2148b420ad9efeafa95fd72b

~91d· 2477 markets · 6752 tradesVol: $143,0142026-08-04 19:05:55
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

73
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

51% (1270/2475)10.7/20
1.33x (win $16,027 / loss $12,066)6.6/15
Annualised Sharpe 3.20715/15
Sortino 14.82110/10
$+0.0976 per $1 invested4.9/10
HHI 249 (2475 markets)10/10
40/74 profitable days (54%)6/10
Max DD 17% of peak ($775 / $4,558)10/10

Badges

4
Contrarian
77% entries < $0.55
Cool Head
Max DD 17%
Win Streak
12 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

8
CRYPTO#1,357,775$-39Vol: $100,755
🎭 CULTURE#738,960$-27Vol: $13,322
💻 TECH#17,953$10Vol: $11,306
🏛️ POLITICS#1,500,170$-78Vol: $10,000
📢 MENTIONS#167,325$-150Vol: $5,388
💰 FINANCE#577,617$-11Vol: $1,966
🌤️ WEATHER#32,060$5Vol: $258
📈 ECONOMICS#256,124$0Vol: $20

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-291
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$143,014
Total Redeem
$1,630
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
2477
total markets
Trades
4745B / 2007S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~91d

Periods

#2
Today
$-0
Vol: $0
Week
$0
Vol: $0
Month
$1
Vol: $0
All Time
$-291
Vol: $143,014

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
51%
1270W / 1205L events
Realized PnL
$-291
Win Rate
51%
1270W / 1205L
Profit Factor
1.33x
Avg Win
$13
Avg Loss
$-10

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $701 (2.4052913320980025% of PnL)

Top Winners

Solana Up or Down - March 25, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET$281
XRP Up or Down - March 25, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET$245
Ethereum Up or Down - March 25, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET$175
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET$162
Solana Up or Down - March 25, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET$155
Solana Up or Down - March 25, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET$97
XRP Up or Down - February 17, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET$96
XRP Up or Down - February 19, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET$93
XRP Up or Down - March 26, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET$93
Ethereum Up or Down - March 7, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET$85

Top Losers

Will Starmer say "Constituent" or "Constituency" during the next PMQ?$-117
Will Starmer say "Deep" or "Deeply" during the next PMQ?$-115
Will Starmer say "Russia" or "Ukraine" during the next PMQ?$-89
Will Starmer say "Hate" or "Hatred" during the next PMQ?$-67
Ethereum Up or Down - March 6, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET$-64
Will Starmer say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 5+ times during the next PMQ?$-62
Ethereum Up or Down - March 6, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET$-60
Ethereum Up or Down - March 6, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET$-58
Will The J. M. Smucker (SJM) beat quarterly earnings?$-57

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.167
Sortino
0.595
HHI
204
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.097
Kelly %
0.6%
Half-Kelly
0.3%
Top-1 market
9.2%
Top-5 markets
27.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
26.3
Active
Markets / Day
9.6
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
20:00 UTC
Median Gap
4.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
18.5m
between trades
Night Trading
21%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.78
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
6 min
Avg Trades / Session
14.3

Bot Detection

#6
35
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
MEDIUM
Median gap 250s — normal for humanCV 1.78 — diverse sizes (human-like)21% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock26 trades/day — high frequency9.6 markets/day — normal46% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 20:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.73
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)17%
Mid (20-55c)60.1%
High (>55c)22.9%

Sessions

#12
12/1/2025, 8:36:04 AM10 trades$6063 min
11/23/2025, 12:41:27 PM16 trades$5436 min
11/27/2025, 10:16:05 PM7 trades$52814 min
11/27/2025, 6:47:33 PM5 trades$5138 min
12/9/2025, 8:56:29 AM79 trades$4379 min
12/10/2025, 6:32:02 PM100 trades$42731 min
11/23/2025, 11:33:17 AM6 trades$3929 min
11/23/2025, 7:05:01 AM10 trades$3608 min
12/22/2025, 8:30:09 PM137 trades$34415 min
11/27/2025, 9:06:49 PM3 trades$3244 min
11/25/2025, 3:27:35 AM6 trades$3124 min
6/13/2026, 8:17:13 AM35 trades$3070 min
11/25/2025, 12:44:07 PM4 trades$2941 min
6/22/2026, 8:26:50 AM30 trades$2853 min
11/24/2025, 12:39:09 AM5 trades$2846 min
11/23/2025, 9:19:51 AM2 trades$2662 min
11/28/2025, 5:47:17 PM4 trades$2621 min
11/24/2025, 9:20:31 PM6 trades$2615 min
11/25/2025, 8:36:01 AM7 trades$24411 min
6/24/2026, 11:40:49 AM8 trades$2413 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-18
12-08
02-18
03-13
05-08
06-13
07-24

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 45 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
29.7% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.73/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L17 / M60.1 / H22.9