@mummylemonade

#2,965,92925

0xb460e4aeb01ff723781f23637a98a17c3629041f

~39d· 218 markets · 357 tradesVol: $124,0432026-08-04 17:18:44
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

25
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

29% (61/208)0/20
1.03x (win $11,177 / loss $10,902)2.8/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.1803.4/15
Sortino 0.3113.1/10
$+0.0155 per $1 invested0.8/10
HHI 231 (208 markets)10/10
18/37 profitable days (49%)4.7/10
Max DD 487% of peak ($4,341 / $891)0/10

Badges

2
Lottery Player
36% entries < $0.20
Win Streak
5 wins in a row

Categories

6
SPORTS#1,858,083$-2,308Vol: $94,708
CRYPTO#93,119$102Vol: $12,190
💰 FINANCE#4,558$900Vol: $8,202
🎭 CULTURE#793,741$-190Vol: $3,747
🏛️ POLITICS#55,137$133Vol: $3,402
📈 ECONOMICS#657,431$-90Vol: $1,795

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-1,453
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$124,043
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
218
total markets
Trades
262B / 95S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~39d

Periods

#2
Today
$-0
Vol: $0
Week
$-0
Vol: $0
Month
$18
Vol: $0
All Time
$-1,453
Vol: $124,043

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
29%
61W / 147L events
Realized PnL
$-1,453
Win Rate
29%
61W / 147L
Profit Factor
1.03x
Avg Win
$183
Avg Loss
$-75

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $4,840 (3.3309453023921605% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$3,724
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of January?$733
Will Senegal win the CAF Africa Cup of Nations Morocco 2025?$382
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-02-24?$355
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?$282
Will Gold close between $4300 and $4400 at the end of 2025?$260
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$232
Bulls vs. Suns$228
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?$222
Wizards vs. Bucks$200

Top Losers

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-815
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?$-555
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-480
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-400
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-400
Will Derby County FC win on 2026-01-11?$-200
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-01-03?$-200
Will Cristiano Ronaldo score 1+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-200
Warriors vs. Suns$-200
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by March 31, 2026?$-200

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.009
Sortino
0.014
HHI
146
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.017
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
6.8%
Top-5 markets
21.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1.6
Moderate
Markets / Day
1.0
Active Hours
20/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
19:00 UTC
Median Gap
56s
between trades
Avg Gap
1.3h
between trades
Night Trading
12%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.16
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
4 min
Avg Trades / Session
6.6

Bot Detection

#6
5
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 56s — normal for humanCV 1.16 — diverse sizes (human-like)12% night trades — normal pattern20/24 hours — extended activity2 trades/day — normal1.0 markets/day — normal8% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 19:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.62
Single entry

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)36.3%
Mid (20-55c)51.9%
High (>55c)11.8%

Sessions

#12
7/25/2026, 5:38:57 PM10 trades$3,1143 min
4/18/2026, 7:30:48 PM79 trades$2,5246 min
4/18/2026, 7:46:18 PM26 trades$2,1079 min
3/7/2026, 1:55:59 AM4 trades$9657 min
12/18/2025, 6:26:13 PM17 trades$9397 min
5/10/2026, 5:03:47 PM5 trades$8600 min
2/22/2026, 5:13:56 AM3 trades$8001 min
12/21/2025, 5:58:31 PM10 trades$78512 min
7/5/2026, 3:09:16 PM9 trades$5522 min
12/19/2025, 2:26:27 AM8 trades$5504 min
1/1/2026, 2:26:27 PM7 trades$51812 min
1/5/2026, 3:13:31 PM8 trades$5119 min
1/6/2026, 3:50:25 PM9 trades$5108 min
3/1/2026, 2:07:57 PM5 trades$4965 min
1/11/2026, 12:57:12 PM6 trades$4503 min
2/18/2026, 1:08:48 PM3 trades$4505 min
1/3/2026, 1:53:17 PM6 trades$4255 min
12/28/2025, 5:46:07 PM11 trades$41513 min
6/23/2026, 3:25:49 AM5 trades$4020 min
12/31/2025, 9:35:15 PM6 trades$3758 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-18
12-26
01-03
01-10
01-27
03-01
07-14

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 178 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
26.6% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.62/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L36.3 / M51.9 / H11.8