mump

@mump

#3,034,48413

0x9de92bf941b25569fedf6c925f71331e0d04ee25

~63d· 329 markets · 5681 tradesVol: $762,253 @mumpquant2026-08-04 19:58:01
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

13
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

35% (113/326)2.3/20
0.84x (win $22,191 / loss $26,359)0.5/15
Annualised Sharpe -2.2610/15
Sortino -3.7170/10
$-0.0811 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 94 (326 markets)10/10
9/56 profitable days (16%)0/10
Max DD 1244% of peak ($7,231 / $581)0/10

Badges

4
Contrarian
61% entries < $0.55
Whale
$51,370 invested
Win Streak
5 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

5
SPORTS#1,837,319$-1,173Vol: $399,093
CRYPTO#1,656,835$-2,596Vol: $253,629
🏛️ POLITICS#1,495,106$-73Vol: $12,492
🌤️ WEATHER#268,422$-30Vol: $1,002
🎭 CULTURE#501,226$-1Vol: $781

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-3,927
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$762,253
Total Redeem
$1,256
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
329
total markets
Trades
1209B / 4472S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~63d

Periods

#2
Today
$-0
Vol: $11,854
Week
$-0
Vol: $15,973
Month
$-2
Vol: $16,853
All Time
$-3,927
Vol: $762,253

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
35%
113W / 213L events
Realized PnL
$-3,927
Win Rate
35%
113W / 213L
Profit Factor
0.84x
Avg Win
$196
Avg Loss
$-128

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $5,349 (1.361992309846961% of PnL)

Top Winners

Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights: O/U 7.5$2,214
Will Portugal vs. DR Congo end in a draw?$1,725
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET$1,409
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights: O/U 5.5$1,388
Knicks vs. Spurs$949
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes$820
White Sox vs. Nationals$666
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET$642
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET$627
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET$565

Top Losers

Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?$-1,560
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights$-1,357
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?$-1,126
Sabres vs. Canadiens$-949
Will Mitch Marner win the 2026 NHL Conn Smythe Trophy?$-900
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights: O/U 4.5$-772
Golden Knights vs. Ducks$-673
Solana Up or Down - November 23, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET$-573
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-06?$-510
Maple Leafs vs. Islanders$-500

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.117
Sortino
-0.216
HHI
108
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.074
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
3.2%
Top-5 markets
14.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
18.4
Active
Markets / Day
1.1
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
21:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
31.2m
between trades
Night Trading
31%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.35
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
15 min
Avg Trades / Session
83.4

Bot Detection

#6
35
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 82s — normal for humanCV 1.35 — diverse sizes (human-like)31% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock18 trades/day — very active1.1 markets/day — normal20% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 21:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
18.04
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)29.3%
Mid (20-55c)32.1%
High (>55c)38.6%

Sessions

#12
6/5/2026, 11:56:52 PM402 trades$7,19657 min
6/17/2026, 5:12:44 PM168 trades$4,92733 min
6/6/2026, 9:30:36 PM274 trades$4,25346 min
5/11/2026, 10:28:07 PM335 trades$4,15841 min
5/11/2026, 2:00:20 AM304 trades$3,84839 min
6/5/2026, 9:14:28 PM299 trades$3,55653 min
6/5/2026, 6:34:39 PM104 trades$3,28012 min
4/24/2026, 9:29:56 PM195 trades$2,86022 min
5/10/2026, 6:39:08 PM157 trades$2,63024 min
6/3/2026, 10:36:31 PM16 trades$2,46312 min
6/6/2026, 2:04:43 PM148 trades$2,41427 min
6/6/2026, 1:20:18 PM186 trades$2,34839 min
5/7/2026, 1:26:17 AM36 trades$1,84614 min
6/5/2026, 10:57:37 PM114 trades$1,83021 min
5/8/2026, 9:46:32 PM144 trades$1,75317 min
6/6/2026, 8:17:45 PM60 trades$1,72122 min
5/16/2026, 2:10:40 AM6 trades$1,6770 min
4/27/2026, 2:18:26 AM66 trades$1,6687 min
6/16/2026, 3:33:52 PM87 trades$1,64219 min
5/7/2026, 1:02:22 AM3 trades$1,6410 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
09-26
11-24
01-13
05-07
06-04
06-17
07-30

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 251 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
78.7% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 18.04/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L29.3 / M32.1 / H38.6