@musclehedz
#2,910,265210x73a8c0ab4c7d2f1d5de65700782826768007a8b7
~94d· 1183 markets · 5794 tradesVol: $69,0102026-08-04 21:13:46
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
21
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
43% (507/1175)6.6/20
0.82x (win $3,334 / loss $4,066)0.2/15
Annualised Sharpe -3.7450/15
Sortino -3.9340/10
$-0.0743 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 52 (1175 markets)10/10
37/82 profitable days (45%)3.8/10
Max DD 2685% of peak ($801 / $30)0/10
Badges
2Win Streak
7 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
23/24 hours active
Categories
7🌤️ WEATHER#297,233$-892Vol: $48,903
₿ CRYPTO#259,585$7Vol: $18,515
💰 FINANCE#107,027$2Vol: $637
🏛️ POLITICS#1,253,178$-9Vol: $479
📈 ECONOMICS#37,248$12Vol: $340
💻 TECH#11,090$29Vol: $74
⚽ SPORTS#1,417,023$-15Vol: $62
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-865
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$69,010
Total Redeem
$1,518
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
1183
total markets
Trades
2469B / 3325S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~94d
Periods
#2Today
$1
Vol: $106
Week
$-14
Vol: $516
Month
$-28
Vol: $777
All Time
$-865
Vol: $69,010
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
43%
507W / 668L events
Realized PnL
$-865
Win Rate
43%
507W / 668L
Profit Factor
0.82x
Avg Win
$7
Avg Loss
$-7
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $285 (0.3291863705211068% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on May 9?$166
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on June 8?$62
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C on May 9?$56
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C on June 20?$52
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C on June 5?$47
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on May 9?$46
DeepSeek V4 released by April 15?$43
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on May 9?$42
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on May 11?$41
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on June 9?$41
Top Losers
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 35°C or higher on June 6?$-139
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on May 9?$-136
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on June 19?$-94
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on June 5?$-80
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on May 9?$-69
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on May 9?$-65
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on May 9?$-62
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on May 9?$-50
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on June 8?$-49
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C or higher on May 11?$-41
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.195
Sortino
-0.179
HHI
31
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.074
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
1.8%
Top-5 markets
7.2%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
37.4
Active
Markets / Day
7.6
Active Hours
23/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
0:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
43.1m
between trades
Night Trading
61%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.45
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
8 min
Avg Trades / Session
21.3
Bot Detection
#645
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 146s — normal for humanCV 1.44 — diverse sizes (human-like)61% night trades — never sleeps23/24 hours — around the clock37 trades/day — high frequency7.6 markets/day — normal42% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 0:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
4.93
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)8.3%
Mid (20-55c)35.8%
High (>55c)55.9%
Sessions
#125/9/2026, 12:28:00 AM19 trades$1,0467 min
5/12/2026, 10:41:01 PM21 trades$4640 min
4/4/2026, 11:42:49 AM5 trades$4214 min
5/10/2026, 4:35:07 AM13 trades$4152 min
5/12/2026, 12:25:27 PM18 trades$3971 min
7/9/2026, 11:02:59 PM25 trades$3585 min
5/13/2026, 12:10:48 AM18 trades$3083 min
6/20/2026, 12:09:32 AM21 trades$29014 min
5/9/2026, 3:31:15 AM54 trades$28716 min
5/9/2026, 2:45:54 AM38 trades$28111 min
5/9/2026, 2:12:39 AM29 trades$2642 min
5/9/2026, 4:51:13 AM38 trades$25910 min
5/9/2026, 5:38:11 AM20 trades$2465 min
7/10/2026, 10:54:49 PM22 trades$2391 min
5/5/2026, 12:48:54 AM11 trades$2370 min
4/28/2026, 3:04:48 AM10 trades$2245 min
5/6/2026, 3:04:44 AM4 trades$2001 min
5/12/2026, 12:09:28 PM23 trades$1978 min
5/9/2026, 2:21:38 AM38 trades$1748 min
6/20/2026, 3:28:44 AM2 trades$1670 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-04
04-20
05-07
06-07
06-20
07-08
07-28
08-04
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 54 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
WEATHER
92% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
57.4% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.93/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L8.3 / M35.8 / H55.9