@myfirstd

#2,891,89329

0x4c48e79c441db833e630257a7f09c652af591c17

~49d· 318 markets · 2104 tradesVol: $83,5622026-08-04 21:45:41
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

29
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

57% (181/317)13.5/20
0.68x (win $6,120 / loss $9,061)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -5.6770/15
Sortino -5.9180/10
$-0.1116 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 71 (317 markets)10/10
25/48 profitable days (52%)5.5/10
Max DD 3530% of peak ($3,026 / $86)0/10

Badges

3
DCA Master
Avg 6.7 entries/market
Win Streak
9 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

2
🌤️ WEATHER#291,965$-236Vol: $69,180
SPORTS#1,794,876$-481Vol: $14,381

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-717
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$83,562
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
318
total markets
Trades
1145B / 959S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~49d

Periods

#2
Today
$35
Vol: $639
Week
$102
Vol: $1,260
Month
$-69
Vol: $1,945
All Time
$-717
Vol: $83,562

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
57%
181W / 136L events
Realized PnL
$-2,840
Win Rate
57%
181W / 136L
Profit Factor
0.68x
Avg Win
$34
Avg Loss
$-72

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $699 (0.2461701003697834% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the lowest temperature in London be 17°C on July 23?$258
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 22?$235
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 10?$206
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on July 11?$186
Tunisia vs. Japan: 1st Half O/U 1.5$178
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 14?$141
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 1.5$114
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 11?$106
Will France win on 2026-06-16?$106
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on May 12?$105

Top Losers

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on July 23?$-392
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on July 9?$-367
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: Spain O/U 1.5$-344
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on May 9?$-310
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 11?$-310
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C or higher on May 12?$-307
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on June 11?$-305
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on July 25?$-279
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 9?$-273
New Zealand vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5$-198

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.294
Sortino
-0.307
HHI
71
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.110
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
2.8%
Top-5 markets
10.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
23.6
Active
Markets / Day
3.6
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
2:00 UTC
Median Gap
5.8m
between trades
Avg Gap
51.7m
between trades
Night Trading
74%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.12
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
4 min
Avg Trades / Session
9.5

Bot Detection

#6
45
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
HIGH
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 346s — normal for humanCV 1.12 — diverse sizes (human-like)74% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock24 trades/day — high frequency3.6 markets/day — normal54% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 2:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
6.71
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)16%
Mid (20-55c)11.4%
High (>55c)72.6%

Sessions

#12
5/9/2026, 12:35:03 AM8 trades$1,3010 min
5/13/2026, 2:44:48 AM25 trades$7643 min
5/11/2026, 2:29:48 AM16 trades$6424 min
7/23/2026, 2:32:54 AM13 trades$5768 min
5/9/2026, 7:00:29 AM21 trades$38212 min
6/20/2026, 12:57:31 AM8 trades$3384 min
7/22/2026, 12:20:52 PM5 trades$3354 min
6/14/2026, 5:45:19 AM6 trades$3165 min
7/20/2026, 4:56:22 AM10 trades$3117 min
5/13/2026, 1:24:14 AM7 trades$3085 min
6/21/2026, 4:36:49 AM4 trades$3000 min
6/17/2026, 4:25:26 AM8 trades$2992 min
6/16/2026, 1:35:51 AM28 trades$2998 min
7/11/2026, 12:59:47 AM3 trades$2812 min
6/22/2026, 1:16:47 AM7 trades$2806 min
6/20/2026, 5:16:10 AM13 trades$28014 min
6/20/2026, 12:37:38 AM10 trades$2705 min
7/23/2026, 5:20:48 AM16 trades$2655 min
6/21/2026, 2:02:37 AM7 trades$2501 min
7/22/2026, 3:28:21 AM2 trades$2490 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
05-08
06-10
06-18
06-26
07-15
07-24

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 84 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
60% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
45.6% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 6.71/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L16 / M11.4 / H72.6