@naturebets

#2,876,71128

0xf91f7e33d2f8c0150593e1a227628350172cc729

~23d· 13 markets · 293 tradesVol: $9,9152026-08-04 18:17:05
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

28
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

67% (8/12)18.3/20
0.21x (win $431 / loss $2,075)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -6.6640/15
Sortino -6.3290/10
$-0.3943 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 2601 (12 markets)0/10
5/7 profitable days (71%)10/10
Max DD 810% of peak ($1,876 / $232)0/10

Badges

3
Sniper
Win rate 67%
DCA Master
Avg 24.2 entries/market
Consistent
5/7 profitable days

Categories

2
💰 FINANCE#651,594$-621Vol: $9,910
SPORTS#954,761$-1Vol: $5

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-622
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$9,915
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
13
total markets
Trades
150B / 143S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~23d

Periods

#2
Today
$17
Vol: $0
Week
$-25
Vol: $28
Month
$-26
Vol: $50
All Time
$-622
Vol: $9,915

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
67%
8W / 4L events
Realized PnL
$-622
Win Rate
67%
8W / 4L
Profit Factor
0.21x
Avg Win
$54
Avg Loss
$-692

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $407 (0.6541035292603674% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Waymo launch in Nashville by June 30 2026?$197
Will Waymo operate in 8 cities on June 30 2026?$173
Will Waymo launch in Miami by June 30 2026?$36
Will Waymo launch in Las Vegas by June 30 2026?$11
Will Waymo operate in 12 or more cities on June 30 2026?$5
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?$3
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$3
Will Waymo operate in 7 cities on June 30 2026?$1

Top Losers

Will Waymo operate in 11 cities on June 30 2026?$-1,632
Will Waymo launch in Dallas by June 30 2026?$-418
Will Waymo operate in 10 cities on June 30 2026?$-26

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.323
Sortino
-0.180
HHI
2468
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.401
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
41.7%
Top-5 markets
87.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1.4
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
13/24
Extended
Peak Hour
6:00 UTC
Median Gap
14s
between trades
Avg Gap
32.5m
between trades
Night Trading
42%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.27
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
28
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
10.5

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 14s — suspiciously fastCV 1.27 — diverse sizes (human-like)42% night trades — never sleeps13/24 hours — normal schedule1 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal36% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 6:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
24.25
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)16%
Mid (20-55c)11.3%
High (>55c)72.7%

Sessions

#12
4/24/2026, 4:50:48 AM40 trades$2,6385 min
4/19/2026, 6:03:04 PM31 trades$1,2423 min
4/16/2026, 6:47:04 AM52 trades$9714 min
4/27/2026, 4:17:30 AM26 trades$6061 min
6/27/2026, 1:10:25 AM32 trades$6035 min
1/18/2026, 7:05:42 PM7 trades$4283 min
3/11/2026, 12:09:07 AM5 trades$4003 min
6/15/2026, 5:32:09 PM6 trades$3060 min
3/23/2026, 6:22:21 AM7 trades$2383 min
1/24/2026, 11:57:28 PM4 trades$2384 min
6/25/2026, 4:01:07 PM11 trades$2302 min
1/12/2026, 5:00:47 PM2 trades$1351 min
4/6/2026, 6:56:55 AM17 trades$1261 min
1/11/2026, 12:06:30 AM2 trades$1251 min
1/11/2026, 6:06:26 PM2 trades$1121 min
1/14/2026, 12:23:32 AM2 trades$981 min
6/16/2026, 6:37:30 AM4 trades$980 min
3/18/2026, 10:27:23 PM5 trades$863 min
6/19/2026, 12:30:01 AM9 trades$750 min
5/31/2026, 5:30:19 PM10 trades$691 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-24
03-23
04-16
04-19
05-31
06-25
06-27

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 2 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
48.8% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 24.25/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L16 / M11.3 / H72.7