
@neo2479
#2,841,931130xd4967a29641a354224a3a7e416ccfd0d5b124956
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
13
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
35% (44/125)2.6/20
0.81x (win $3,098 / loss $3,802)0.2/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.3970/15
Sortino -1.9590/10
$-0.0458 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1132 (125 markets)6.8/10
21/50 profitable days (42%)3/10
Max DD 701% of peak ($1,798 / $256)0/10
Categories
8🏛️ POLITICS#1,578,853$-280Vol: $35,089
💰 FINANCE#623,106$-61Vol: $5,315
📈 ECONOMICS#618,435$-16Vol: $3,510
₿ CRYPTO#1,244,646$-18Vol: $3,229
🎭 CULTURE#712,984$-16Vol: $1,841
🌤️ WEATHER#282,618$-82Vol: $1,022
⚽ SPORTS#1,137,168$-3Vol: $594
💻 TECH#174,403$-0Vol: $200
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-476
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$50,901
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
133
total markets
Trades
540B / 428S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~63d
Periods
#2Today
$-1
Vol: $0
Week
$-1
Vol: $0
Month
$-1
Vol: $0
All Time
$-476
Vol: $50,901
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
35%
44W / 81L events
Realized PnL
$-476
Win Rate
35%
44W / 81L
Profit Factor
0.81x
Avg Win
$70
Avg Loss
$-48
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,763 (3.7020660115898214% of PnL)
Top Winners
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$1,047
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?$530
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?$187
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?$172
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 1?$164
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?$144
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?$130
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?$126
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?$108
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?$88
Top Losers
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$-557
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?$-416
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$-340
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?$-320
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?$-318
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?$-218
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$-202
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?$-175
Will Bob Menery enter the ring against Johnny Manziel?$-121
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$-104
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.072
Sortino
-0.098
HHI
2431
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.032
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
45.5%
Top-5 markets
70.1%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
6.1
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.8
Active Hours
18/24
Extended
Peak Hour
19:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.3h
between trades
Night Trading
8%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.43
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
6.7
Bot Detection
#65
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 123s — normal for humanCV 1.43 — diverse sizes (human-like)8% night trades — normal pattern18/24 hours — extended activity6 trades/day — normal0.8 markets/day — normal59% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 19:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
10.43
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)15.7%
Mid (20-55c)31.7%
High (>55c)52.6%
Sessions
#124/22/2026, 11:50:06 AM15 trades$6396 min
4/25/2026, 3:10:18 PM12 trades$6046 min
5/7/2026, 1:17:36 PM12 trades$5774 min
4/20/2026, 12:08:46 PM4 trades$4973 min
5/7/2026, 7:50:07 PM5 trades$4663 min
4/18/2026, 8:37:54 PM14 trades$4533 min
4/18/2026, 6:48:12 PM3 trades$4521 min
4/26/2026, 6:41:32 PM8 trades$4466 min
4/21/2026, 7:39:02 PM6 trades$4283 min
5/12/2026, 12:45:45 PM5 trades$4020 min
4/23/2026, 7:56:00 PM4 trades$4001 min
5/11/2026, 10:24:49 PM4 trades$4000 min
5/22/2026, 1:43:49 AM5 trades$4000 min
5/14/2026, 10:01:25 PM11 trades$3632 min
4/21/2026, 8:10:52 PM4 trades$3624 min
4/21/2026, 2:48:20 PM7 trades$3616 min
5/21/2026, 6:07:16 PM10 trades$3593 min
5/7/2026, 4:38:05 PM9 trades$3520 min
4/21/2026, 9:04:06 PM8 trades$3472 min
4/21/2026, 6:58:06 PM9 trades$3417 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-22
04-02
04-26
05-11
05-27
06-15
07-05
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 14 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
2% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
44.2% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 10.43/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L15.7 / M31.7 / H52.6