nevermore716

@nevermore716

#3,042,49521

0xac5d3d32b87551e21bd85ef6d65b1d86cd7e0c01

~59d· 144 markets · 750 tradesVol: $342,3302026-08-06 16:16:54
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

21
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

55% (74/135)12.4/20
0.79x (win $9,639 / loss $12,263)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.9650/15
Sortino -1.5450/10
$-0.1018 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1198 (135 markets)6.5/10
14/37 profitable days (38%)2/10
Max DD 138% of peak ($9,507 / $6,883)0/10

Badges

3
DCA Master
Avg 5.3 entries/market
Win Streak
6 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

6
SPORTS#1,862,039$-2,557Vol: $301,260
CRYPTO#1,643,868$-1,711Vol: $29,018
🏛️ POLITICS#1,549,508$-153Vol: $6,016
💰 FINANCE#628,924$-75Vol: $3,027
📈 ECONOMICS#658,290$-92Vol: $1,300
🎭 CULTURE#586,245$-2Vol: $70

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-4,533
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$342,330
Total Redeem
$1,295
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
144
total markets
Trades
281B / 469S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~59d

Periods

#2
Today
$38
Vol: $387
Week
$-29
Vol: $1,487
Month
$-39
Vol: $1,487
All Time
$-4,533
Vol: $342,330

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
55%
74W / 61L events
Realized PnL
$-4,533
Win Rate
55%
74W / 61L
Profit Factor
0.79x
Avg Win
$130
Avg Loss
$-219

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $6,591 (1.4539113785557989% of PnL)

Top Winners

Yokkaichi: Yuta Shimizu vs Jie Cui$4,995
Spurs vs. Clippers$977
Nets vs. Trail Blazers$619
Kings vs. Hornets$381
Trail Blazers vs. Timberwolves$300
Raptors vs. Jazz$262
Will the Denver Nuggets win the NBA Western Conference Finals?$260
Tianjin Pioneers vs. Zhejiang Lions$245
Spurs vs. Grizzlies$146
Yokkaichi: Yu-Hsiou Hsu vs Justin Boulais$120

Top Losers

Wichita State Shockers vs. Tulsa Golden Hurricane$-4,304
Dogecoin Up or Down - March 28, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET$-925
Will the New York Knicks win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?$-924
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?$-914
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?$-824
Will the Boston Celtics win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?$-664
BNB Up or Down - March 28, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET$-457
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?$-327
BNB Up or Down - March 28, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET$-309
BNB Up or Down - March 28, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET$-300

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.050
Sortino
-0.066
HHI
697
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.102
Kelly %
3.0%
Half-Kelly
1.5%
Top-1 market
18.4%
Top-5 markets
46.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
4.7
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.9
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
4:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.1h
between trades
Night Trading
34%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.98
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
7.0

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 136s — normal for humanCV 2.98 — diverse sizes (human-like)34% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock5 trades/day — normal0.9 markets/day — normal54% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 4:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
5.35
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)14.9%
Mid (20-55c)21.4%
High (>55c)63.7%

Sessions

#12
3/24/2026, 4:55:13 AM1 trades$41,2620 min
3/28/2026, 4:21:53 PM5 trades$21,88513 min
3/29/2026, 4:14:48 AM6 trades$7,0988 min
4/3/2026, 4:32:13 AM31 trades$6,8517 min
3/24/2026, 2:58:15 AM1 trades$5,4330 min
3/24/2026, 1:30:33 PM3 trades$5,0281 min
3/24/2026, 8:27:59 AM1 trades$4,9950 min
3/26/2026, 2:09:37 PM1 trades$4,9950 min
3/24/2026, 12:11:59 PM40 trades$4,7804 min
4/3/2026, 3:55:09 AM6 trades$3,7970 min
4/3/2026, 3:39:51 AM2 trades$3,7600 min
3/25/2026, 12:55:07 AM1 trades$3,5760 min
3/25/2026, 1:03:55 AM25 trades$2,6697 min
5/19/2026, 9:58:38 AM14 trades$2,4986 min
3/28/2026, 5:09:29 PM31 trades$2,24123 min
4/3/2026, 3:21:59 AM3 trades$2,0000 min
3/24/2026, 8:01:03 AM1 trades$1,9200 min
3/28/2026, 8:48:50 PM18 trades$1,42611 min
4/10/2026, 10:48:49 AM2 trades$1,0000 min
8/3/2026, 7:05:59 AM2 trades$1,0000 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-28
03-21
03-27
04-09
05-24
06-16
07-21

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 119 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
62.5% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 5.35/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L14.9 / M21.4 / H63.7