nickleanddimer

@nickleanddimer

#186,70081

0xfb4f7dbde05389f97b9e656f7ea81959ae661737

~71d· 204 markets · 628 tradesVol: $132,3892026-08-04 22:47:33
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

81
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

78% (160/204)20/20
1.58x (win $201 / loss $127)9.8/15
Annualised Sharpe 4.14315/15
Sortino 5.21910/10
$+0.0014 per $1 invested0.1/10
HHI 175 (204 markets)10/10
54/71 profitable days (76%)10/10
Max DD 37% of peak ($27 / $74)6.6/10

Badges

6
Sniper
Win rate 78%
Profitable
PnL $+171
Whale
$52,066 invested
Consistent
54/71 profitable days
Win Streak
23 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
23/24 hours active

Categories

4
CRYPTO#70,731$170Vol: $125,183
💰 FINANCE#80,326$4Vol: $3,576
SPORTS#247,358$16Vol: $2,703
🎭 CULTURE#518,726$-1Vol: $143

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$171
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$132,389
Total Redeem
$163
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
204
total markets
Trades
275B / 353S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~71d

Periods

#2
Today
$0
Vol: $464
Week
$1
Vol: $3,014
Month
$4
Vol: $5,491
All Time
$171
Vol: $132,389

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
78%
160W / 44L events
Realized PnL
$171
Win Rate
78%
160W / 44L
Profit Factor
1.58x
Avg Win
$1
Avg Loss
$-5

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $40 (0.23297386003985465% of PnL)

Top Winners

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET$20
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET$10
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET$10
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 5?$9
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET$9
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 on June 17?$6
Lightning vs. Canadiens: O/U 7.5$5
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET$5
Ethereum Up or Down - April 28, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET$5
Spread: DR Congo (-2.5)$5

Top Losers

Map 1: Odd/Even Total Kills?$-30
Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET$-10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10PM ET$-8
Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET$-8
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET$-8
Will Torino FC vs. FC Internazionale Milano end in a draw?$-6
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET$-6
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET$-4
Celtics vs. 76ers: O/U 214.5$-4
Ethereum Up or Down - April 26, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET$-4

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.215
Sortino
0.120
HHI
164
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.001
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
2%
Top-5 markets
10.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
6.2
Moderate
Markets / Day
2.0
Active Hours
23/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
0:00 UTC
Median Gap
30.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
4.8h
between trades
Night Trading
36%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.75
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.3

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 1818s — normal for humanCV 1.75 — diverse sizes (human-like)36% night trades — never sleeps23/24 hours — around the clock6 trades/day — normal2.0 markets/day — normal43% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 0:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.09
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)3.3%
Mid (20-55c)8.4%
High (>55c)88.4%

Sessions

#12
8/2/2026, 5:54:21 PM2 trades$2,1240 min
7/19/2026, 6:14:57 AM2 trades$2,0860 min
6/29/2026, 11:35:41 AM2 trades$2,0340 min
6/25/2026, 11:42:43 AM2 trades$2,0200 min
6/22/2026, 11:03:28 AM5 trades$1,9853 min
6/6/2026, 10:45:04 AM2 trades$1,8600 min
6/5/2026, 6:19:49 PM2 trades$1,8200 min
6/11/2026, 10:49:39 AM6 trades$1,8000 min
6/8/2026, 9:00:18 PM5 trades$1,7240 min
6/10/2026, 9:11:16 PM6 trades$1,6530 min
5/20/2026, 2:36:45 PM2 trades$1,6000 min
6/6/2026, 8:59:18 PM14 trades$1,5510 min
6/17/2026, 5:27:10 PM6 trades$1,4640 min
6/8/2026, 11:01:09 AM10 trades$1,3793 min
6/20/2026, 10:53:46 AM4 trades$1,3370 min
6/7/2026, 9:46:57 PM9 trades$1,2954 min
6/16/2026, 10:12:47 PM6 trades$1,2900 min
6/9/2026, 8:55:52 PM11 trades$1,2752 min
6/18/2026, 12:06:20 AM7 trades$1,2191 min
6/19/2026, 9:00:14 PM5 trades$1,1703 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-24
05-06
05-18
06-02
06-13
06-24
07-07

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 1 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
56.2% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.09/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L3.3 / M8.4 / H88.4