@niggleball
#3,057,628490x4a40b53e08ee0674aa560e8ac91065555c3b851a
~20d· 20 markets · 461 tradesVol: $213,7532026-08-05 18:29:35
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
49
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
56% (9/16)13.1/20
1.17x (win $5,051 / loss $4,310)4.6/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.52915/15
Sortino 2.57410/10
$+0.0766 per $1 invested3.8/10
HHI 6960 (16 markets)0/10
4/10 profitable days (40%)2.5/10
Max DD 75% of peak ($2,211 / $2,952)0/10
Badges
4Contrarian
70% entries < $0.55
DCA Master
Avg 25.3 entries/market
Win Streak
5 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
22/24 hours active
Categories
3₿ CRYPTO#1,672,996$-8,005Vol: $211,006
🎭 CULTURE#808,223$-655Vol: $2,347
💰 FINANCE#616,976$-46Vol: $400
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-8,706
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$213,753
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
20
total markets
Trades
97B / 364S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~20d
Periods
#2Week
$-83
Vol: $3,800
Month
$-216
Vol: $3,800
All Time
$-8,706
Vol: $213,753
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
56%
9W / 7L events
Realized PnL
$-8,706
Win Rate
56%
9W / 7L
Profit Factor
1.17x
Avg Win
$561
Avg Loss
$-616
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $3,381 (0.3883778841647753% of PnL)
Top Winners
Citrea FDV above $200M one day after launch?$2,238
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET$619
Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?$524
Cap FDV above $150M one day after launch?$521
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET$378
o1 FDV above $200M one day after launch?$212
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET$205
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET$197
Cap FDV above $250M one day after launch?$155
Top Losers
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET$-2,000
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET$-921
Another GTA VI trailer released by June 26?$-697
GRVT FDV above $500M one day after launch?$-627
GRVT FDV above $300M one day after launch?$-45
Citrea FDV above $800M one day after launch?$-14
Tea FDV above $40M one day after launch$-5
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.076
Sortino
0.125
HHI
647
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.092
Kelly %
5.4%
Half-Kelly
2.7%
Top-1 market
10.3%
Top-5 markets
48.6%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
6.6
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.3
Active Hours
22/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
9:00 UTC
Median Gap
16.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.7h
between trades
Night Trading
5%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.88
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
9.0
Bot Detection
#615
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 980s — normal for humanCV 1.88 — diverse sizes (human-like)5% night trades — normal pattern22/24 hours — around the clock7 trades/day — normal0.3 markets/day — normal21% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 9:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
25.31
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)26.8%
Mid (20-55c)43.3%
High (>55c)29.9%
Sessions
#127/10/2026, 9:38:58 AM143 trades$50,6462 min
7/10/2026, 10:12:43 AM84 trades$1,9426 min
8/3/2026, 9:31:20 AM13 trades$1,5970 min
7/10/2026, 10:57:53 AM32 trades$1,3790 min
7/10/2026, 7:32:37 AM59 trades$1,3055 min
7/7/2026, 4:24:38 PM1 trades$9830 min
5/26/2026, 3:44:55 AM2 trades$9000 min
5/28/2026, 5:15:30 AM2 trades$6130 min
6/24/2026, 12:53:07 PM7 trades$6060 min
7/31/2026, 8:21:56 AM22 trades$4521 min
5/27/2026, 12:56:36 PM15 trades$3923 min
6/24/2026, 3:59:25 PM5 trades$3016 min
6/18/2026, 2:18:11 AM2 trades$3000 min
6/24/2026, 3:18:37 AM2 trades$2600 min
6/29/2026, 4:36:59 AM2 trades$2600 min
6/26/2026, 7:57:44 PM1 trades$2450 min
5/26/2026, 2:51:09 PM7 trades$2360 min
5/26/2026, 1:12:46 PM1 trades$2250 min
6/22/2026, 2:20:17 AM1 trades$1970 min
6/26/2026, 5:12:17 PM4 trades$1672 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
05-26
05-28
06-04
06-18
06-24
06-25
06-26
06-29
07-10
07-31
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 37 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
79% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 25.31/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L26.8 / M43.3 / H29.9