@nightphobos

#2,455,63522

0xbd8b4dcf849a0b22a173a81e67cb9f87324ded0d

~7d· 18 markets · 73 tradesVol: $5,5102026-08-04 16:20:30
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

22
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

12% (2/17)0/20
1.41x (win $40 / loss $28)7.7/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.0000/15
Sortino 0.0000/10
$+0.1489 per $1 invested7.4/10
HHI 1063 (17 markets)7.2/10
1/6 profitable days (17%)0/10
Max DD 69% of peak ($26 / $38)0.1/10

Badges

1
Lottery Player
43% entries < $0.20

Categories

6
🏛️ POLITICS#1,345,410$-16Vol: $2,238
🎭 CULTURE#713,093$-16Vol: $1,077
⚽ SPORTS#1,327,960$-9Vol: $804
₿ CRYPTO#1,063,966$-6Vol: $743
💰 FINANCE#604,405$-25Vol: $635
💻 TECH#44,194$1Vol: $13

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-72
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$5,510
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
18
total markets
Trades
47B / 26S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~7d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
12%
2W / 15L events
Realized PnL
$-72
Win Rate
12%
2W / 15L
Profit Factor
1.41x
Avg Win
$20
Avg Loss
$-3

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $40 (0.554003073913651% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in May?$38
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$2

Top Losers

Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,300 in May?$-6
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $70 in May?$-6
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?$-4
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by June 30?$-2
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$-2
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?$-2
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?$-2
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?$-2
Will Claude go down 6-8 times in May?$-1
Will Claude go down 12+ times in May?$-1

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.108
Sortino
0.560
HHI
1482
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.143
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
27.9%
Top-5 markets
74.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1.4
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.3
Active Hours
15/24
Extended
Peak Hour
8:00 UTC
Median Gap
14.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.7h
between trades
Night Trading
4%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.83
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
35
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.1

Bot Detection

#6
0
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 840s — normal for humanCV 0.83 — diverse sizes (human-like)4% night trades — normal pattern15/24 hours — normal schedule1 trades/day — normal0.3 markets/day — normal64% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 8:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.24
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)42.6%
Mid (20-55c)21.3%
High (>55c)36.2%

Sessions

#12
5/30/2026, 8:19:29 AM2 trades$140 min
5/31/2026, 6:08:36 AM4 trades$132 min
5/27/2026, 8:48:05 AM2 trades$130 min
5/27/2026, 12:52:05 PM2 trades$130 min
5/26/2026, 10:36:40 AM8 trades$125 min
5/31/2026, 10:06:47 AM2 trades$120 min
5/27/2026, 7:11:06 AM2 trades$100 min
5/27/2026, 7:16:12 AM3 trades$100 min
5/30/2026, 8:12:50 AM2 trades$80 min
5/27/2026, 6:56:12 AM2 trades$70 min
5/26/2026, 2:47:35 PM5 trades$74 min
5/30/2026, 8:25:44 AM2 trades$50 min
5/30/2026, 8:45:14 AM2 trades$50 min
5/26/2026, 3:05:10 PM3 trades$50 min
5/26/2026, 3:12:59 PM3 trades$40 min
5/26/2026, 11:01:13 AM3 trades$30 min
5/26/2026, 11:14:23 AM3 trades$30 min
5/29/2026, 11:20:06 AM1 trades$30 min
5/29/2026, 1:59:02 PM1 trades$30 min
5/28/2026, 3:33:20 PM2 trades$21 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
05-26
05-27
05-28
05-29
05-30
05-31

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 4 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
35.6% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.24/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L42.6 / M21.3 / H36.2