@nikolal

#52,23972

0x8067508bfffbd1c3d67681af2c772e15ea137727

~64d· 78 markets · 234 tradesVol: $32,7182026-08-05 17:54:29
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

72
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

49% (38/77)9.7/20
7.23x (win $2,424 / loss $335)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 2.68115/15
Sortino 72.57010/10
$+1.4572 per $1 invested10/10
HHI 3996 (77 markets)0/10
18/44 profitable days (41%)2.7/10
Max DD 7% of peak ($142 / $2,126)10/10

Badges

5
Profitable
PnL $+2,000
Lottery Player
59% entries < $0.20
Cool Head
Max DD 7%
Win Streak
7 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

5
⚽ SPORTS#21,147$2,071Vol: $29,081
₿ CRYPTO#1,160,398$-10Vol: $1,087
🏛️ POLITICS#1,362,034$-18Vol: $681
🎭 CULTURE#754,263$-39Vol: $404
📈 ECONOMICS#95,791$2Vol: $283

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$2,000
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$32,718
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
78
total markets
Trades
178B / 56S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~64d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
49%
38W / 39L events
Realized PnL
$2,000
Win Rate
49%
38W / 39L
Profit Factor
7.23x
Avg Win
$64
Avg Loss
$-9

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $2,295 (1.1477940404338414% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?$2,264
Super Bowl LIX Winner$20
Seahawks vs. Cardinals$12
Jets vs. Buccaneers$10
Eagles vs. Chiefs$9
Will Jerome Powell say "inflation" 50 or more times during December FOMC Press Conference?$8
Will Trump impose 25% tariff on Mexico or Canada before February?$8
Will Michigan State make the 2025 Final Four?$6
Will Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days?$6
Steelers vs. Patriots$6

Top Losers

Will Michigan State win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?$-54
Will Trump pardon Ross Ulbricht in his first 100 days?$-41
Will Michigan State win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?$-38
Jets vs. Dolphins$-21
Packers vs. Browns$-20
Will 'Moana 2' gross more than $180m on 5-day opening weekend?$-17
Chiefs vs. Broncos$-14
Will Elon tweet 500-549 times Feb 14-21?$-10
Will Elon tweet less than 500 times Feb 14-21?$-10
Broncos vs. Colts$-10

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.139
Sortino
3.744
HHI
1074
Moderate
EV per $1
$1.514
Kelly %
35.3%
Half-Kelly
17.6%
Top-1 market
30.5%
Top-5 markets
48.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.4
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
20:00 UTC
Median Gap
4.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.0h
between trades
Night Trading
12%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.71
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.1

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 240s — normal for humanCV 2.71 — diverse sizes (human-like)12% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock0 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal40% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 20:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.79
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)59%
Mid (20-55c)23.6%
High (>55c)17.4%

Sessions

#12
1/29/2026, 4:50:52 PM1 trades$1,0080 min
2/9/2026, 2:39:21 AM10 trades$6955 min
12/19/2025, 3:28:41 AM1 trades$2420 min
12/19/2025, 4:55:29 AM1 trades$2420 min
7/15/2026, 10:49:28 AM7 trades$1531 min
12/19/2025, 6:24:29 AM1 trades$1440 min
11/15/2024, 7:50:15 AM4 trades$626 min
11/15/2024, 9:13:45 AM4 trades$476 min
9/21/2025, 8:43:50 PM3 trades$431 min
3/28/2025, 1:12:58 PM2 trades$410 min
9/9/2025, 1:51:32 PM1 trades$400 min
9/9/2025, 7:25:18 PM1 trades$400 min
3/26/2025, 10:55:01 PM2 trades$381 min
2/1/2025, 10:24:58 PM2 trades$351 min
9/8/2025, 12:05:34 PM1 trades$350 min
11/14/2024, 9:51:03 AM3 trades$352 min
9/21/2025, 3:29:56 PM3 trades$311 min
1/3/2025, 9:44:23 PM2 trades$290 min
9/25/2025, 9:34:16 PM1 trades$270 min
9/18/2025, 11:16:06 AM1 trades$270 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-12
11-27
01-03
02-20
09-06
09-25
03-13

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 289 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
23.9% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.79/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L59 / M23.6 / H17.4