@nilestrades
#2,894,068870x27214fd786225d2356b3201808efb3451f8ecf8a
~120d· 535 markets · 15905 tradesVol: $132,6302026-08-04 17:21:48
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
87
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
58% (266/460)13.9/20
2.07x (win $15,195 / loss $7,348)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.54815/15
Sortino 4.79810/10
$+0.2158 per $1 invested10/10
HHI 405 (460 markets)10/10
49/93 profitable days (53%)5.7/10
Max DD 31% of peak ($3,486 / $11,324)7.8/10
Badges
3DCA Master
Avg 36.7 entries/market
Win Streak
12 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
Categories
9🏛️ POLITICS#1,527,140$-107Vol: $84,110
⚽ SPORTS#1,782,452$-389Vol: $19,765
₿ CRYPTO#1,497,036$-125Vol: $11,795
📈 ECONOMICS#655,463$-78Vol: $10,900
🎭 CULTURE#667,774$-7Vol: $2,742
💻 TECH#224,396$-9Vol: $1,153
🌤️ WEATHER#237,539$-7Vol: $1,051
💰 FINANCE#578,970$-12Vol: $937
📢 MENTIONS#75,238$-1Vol: $176
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-734
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$132,630
Total Redeem
$1,043
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
535
total markets
Trades
7646B / 8259S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~120d
Periods
#2Today
$2
Vol: $0
Week
$-0
Vol: $39
Month
$1
Vol: $301
All Time
$-734
Vol: $132,630
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
58%
266W / 194L events
Realized PnL
$-734
Win Rate
58%
266W / 194L
Profit Factor
2.07x
Avg Win
$57
Avg Loss
$-43
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $10,887 (14.823230672875308% of PnL)
Top Winners
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$7,314
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$2,243
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14$1,330
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?$429
Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June?$310
Will Iran close its airspace by June 15?$267
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?$261
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June?$197
Will Iran close its airspace by June 14?$142
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?$137
Top Losers
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$-2,224
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?$-881
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$-782
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$-429
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$-363
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?$-139
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in June?$-126
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?$-108
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?$-89
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-83
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.081
Sortino
0.177
HHI
359
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.198
Kelly %
26.1%
Half-Kelly
13.0%
Top-1 market
10.3%
Top-5 markets
35.7%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
98.8
Very active
Markets / Day
3.3
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
20:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.9m
between trades
Avg Gap
22.0m
between trades
Night Trading
20%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.13
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
12 min
Avg Trades / Session
57.4
Bot Detection
#645
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 111s — normal for humanCV 2.13 — diverse sizes (human-like)19% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock99 trades/day — mass trading3.3 markets/day — normal48% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 20:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
36.66
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)13.5%
Mid (20-55c)19%
High (>55c)67.4%
Sessions
#126/29/2026, 12:20:08 PM239 trades$2,9946 min
6/29/2026, 2:05:16 PM145 trades$2,0114 min
6/4/2026, 3:20:04 PM168 trades$1,6695 min
6/5/2026, 8:13:21 AM93 trades$1,3356 min
6/14/2026, 9:11:37 PM156 trades$1,27225 min
7/1/2026, 8:04:11 PM14 trades$1,0162 min
6/11/2026, 5:30:24 PM80 trades$86121 min
7/9/2026, 8:52:31 PM69 trades$8431 min
6/5/2026, 8:44:52 AM90 trades$8199 min
6/5/2026, 8:01:39 AM71 trades$8141 min
6/14/2026, 6:25:19 PM96 trades$72340 min
6/19/2026, 7:49:01 PM49 trades$71710 min
6/14/2026, 12:27:04 PM82 trades$67935 min
6/5/2026, 2:23:51 PM33 trades$6691 min
6/12/2026, 7:30:48 PM35 trades$66020 min
6/17/2026, 10:09:50 PM32 trades$61019 min
6/14/2026, 4:02:07 PM56 trades$55518 min
6/29/2026, 2:37:05 PM42 trades$55218 min
6/19/2026, 9:02:46 PM23 trades$52412 min
6/12/2026, 10:08:15 PM28 trades$5116 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-23
04-19
05-13
06-06
06-21
07-07
07-27
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 16 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
51.9% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 36.66/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L13.5 / M19 / H67.4