@norbika

#2,883,81018

0xa7db25e0eeebb23cffa2f624615973c4b3416688

~117d· 2520 markets · 11122 tradesVol: $325,595 @Nor__BIKA2026-08-06 16:43:52
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

18
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

46% (1024/2241)7.8/20
0.64x (win $12,203 / loss $19,098)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -3.6890/15
Sortino -4.4230/10
$-0.1920 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 105 (2241 markets)10/10
25/80 profitable days (31%)0.3/10
Max DD 2429% of peak ($7,191 / $296)0/10

Badges

2
Win Streak
11 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

8
SPORTS#1,624,570$-63Vol: $108,972
🏛️ POLITICS#1,584,822$-317Vol: $88,865
📈 ECONOMICS#640,215$-33Vol: $49,499
CRYPTO#1,413,193$-60Vol: $43,799
💰 FINANCE#635,999$-116Vol: $19,212
🎭 CULTURE#752,719$-39Vol: $5,750
💻 TECH#228,260$-10Vol: $2,441
🌤️ WEATHER#231,591$-5Vol: $1,918

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-647
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$325,595
Total Redeem
$5,806
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
2520
total markets
Trades
8777B / 2345S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~117d

Periods

#2
Today
$-0
Vol: $15
Week
$-2
Vol: $429
Month
$-3
Vol: $509
All Time
$-647
Vol: $325,595

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
46%
1024W / 1217L events
Realized PnL
$-647
Win Rate
46%
1024W / 1217L
Profit Factor
0.64x
Avg Win
$12
Avg Loss
$-16

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $3,923 (6.062370576417864% of PnL)

Top Winners

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$2,744
Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?$673
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: Spain O/U 0.5$506
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$403
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?$397
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$321
Germany vs. Curaçao: Both Teams to Score in First Half$226
Ecuador vs. Curaçao: Ecuador O/U 0.5$174
Exact Score: Any Other Score?$149
Ecuador vs. Curaçao: Neither team to score first?$117

Top Losers

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?$-982
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-701
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$-562
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?$-561
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-459
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-434
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$-368
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-20?$-334
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$-330
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?$-318

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.192
Sortino
-0.211
HHI
50
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.196
Kelly %
9.3%
Half-Kelly
4.6%
Top-1 market
2.7%
Top-5 markets
11.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
22.5
Active
Markets / Day
5.1
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
19:00 UTC
Median Gap
5.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
18.7m
between trades
Night Trading
22%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.16
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
19 min
Avg Trades / Session
33.6

Bot Detection

#6
35
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 320s — normal for humanCV 1.16 — diverse sizes (human-like)22% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock23 trades/day — high frequency5.1 markets/day — normal67% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 19:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.35
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)23.3%
Mid (20-55c)20.2%
High (>55c)56.5%

Sessions

#12
6/20/2026, 1:05:37 PM145 trades$1,9053 min
6/9/2026, 3:51:48 AM198 trades$1,3985 min
4/12/2026, 3:54:25 PM16 trades$1,32515 min
6/20/2026, 8:05:52 PM71 trades$1,20858 min
4/12/2026, 4:40:37 PM4 trades$1,0641 min
6/14/2026, 11:06:13 AM75 trades$98813 min
6/20/2026, 9:21:07 PM95 trades$74054 min
6/21/2026, 11:49:41 PM64 trades$43575 min
6/19/2026, 7:09:41 PM4 trades$3443 min
6/22/2026, 2:19:14 AM58 trades$3412 min
6/11/2026, 11:15:49 PM2 trades$3330 min
6/21/2026, 10:13:53 PM47 trades$31840 min
6/20/2026, 11:49:35 AM56 trades$31718 min
6/21/2026, 1:14:19 AM52 trades$29616 min
6/21/2026, 7:14:17 PM40 trades$28735 min
6/21/2026, 8:04:53 AM16 trades$2710 min
6/21/2026, 8:40:13 AM13 trades$26319 min
6/7/2026, 7:15:31 PM14 trades$2560 min
6/15/2026, 3:08:16 AM12 trades$2547 min
6/21/2026, 3:43:49 PM29 trades$24421 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-02
03-19
04-01
06-06
06-20
07-03
07-21

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 40 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
21.1% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.35/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L23.3 / M20.2 / H56.5