normieholocaust

@normieholocaust

#88,57534

0x7fe7b495d6a447b3d21de6c64db7d2ba0ee5dbd6

~150d· 517 markets · 4256 tradesVol: $208,516 @eftegarie2026-08-06 16:00:04
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

34
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

19% (94/506)0/20
1.06x (win $14,516 / loss $13,645)3.3/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.4959.3/15
Sortino 0.8588.6/10
$+0.0504 per $1 invested2.5/10
HHI 58 (506 markets)10/10
29/121 profitable days (24%)0/10
Max DD 98% of peak ($4,718 / $4,810)0/10

Badges

5
Profitable
PnL $+884
Lottery Player
82% entries < $0.20
Diamond Hands
10% sells
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
77% maker orders

Categories

8
💰 FINANCE#4,037$1,074Vol: $165,504
🏛️ POLITICS#1,506,384$-85Vol: $21,707
📈 ECONOMICS#662,819$-114Vol: $20,584
🎭 CULTURE#719,680$-18Vol: $314
🌤️ WEATHER#18,150$16Vol: $253
📢 MENTIONS#126,992$-9Vol: $113
💻 TECH#29,453$3Vol: $8
SPORTS#424,897$1Vol: $5

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$856
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$208,516
Total Redeem
$246
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
517
total markets
Trades
3842B / 414S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~150d

Periods

#2
Today
$-32
Vol: $427
Week
$43
Vol: $494
Month
$37
Vol: $494
All Time
$856
Vol: $208,516

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
19%
94W / 412L events
Realized PnL
$884
Win Rate
19%
94W / 412L
Profit Factor
1.06x
Avg Win
$154
Avg Loss
$-34

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $3,816 (4.316171647024226% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Amazon (AMZN) beat quarterly earnings?$1,926
Will PayPal (PYPL) beat quarterly earnings?$1,271
Will S&P Global (SPGI) beat quarterly earnings?$619
Will American Express (AXP) beat quarterly earnings?$554
Will McCormick & Company (MKC) beat quarterly earnings?$527
Will Aptiv (APTV) beat quarterly earnings?$470
Will Ares Management (ARES) beat quarterly earnings?$444
Will MSC Industrial Direct (MSM) beat quarterly earnings?$431
Will Tripadvisor (TRIP) beat quarterly earnings?$423
Will SoFi Technologies (SOFI) beat quarterly earnings?$406

Top Losers

Will Coinbase Global (COIN) beat quarterly earnings?$-210
Will DoorDash (DASH) beat quarterly earnings?$-207
Will Robinhood Markets (HOOD) beat quarterly earnings?$-173
Will Applied Materials Inc (AMAT) beat quarterly earnings?$-172
Will Eventbrite (EB) beat quarterly earnings?$-168
Will Applovin (APP) beat quarterly earnings?$-163
Will Tower Semiconductor (TSEM) beat quarterly earnings?$-162
Will Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) beat quarterly earnings?$-159
Will Alphabet (GOOGL) beat quarterly earnings?$-148
Will Reddit (RDDT) beat quarterly earnings?$-148

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.026
Sortino
0.044
HHI
53
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.051
Kelly %
1.9%
Half-Kelly
1.0%
Top-1 market
1.9%
Top-5 markets
6.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
17.3
Active
Markets / Day
2.1
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
10:00 UTC
Median Gap
7.8m
between trades
Avg Gap
48.5m
between trades
Night Trading
19%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.94
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
5 min
Avg Trades / Session
10.8

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 470s — normal for humanCV 1.94 — diverse sizes (human-like)19% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock17 trades/day — very active2.1 markets/day — normal77% maker — frequent liquidity provider

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 10:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
8.42
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)82.1%
Mid (20-55c)17%
High (>55c)0.9%

Sessions

#12
5/3/2026, 3:02:58 AM49 trades$1,90910 min
4/22/2026, 6:02:56 PM23 trades$1,0035 min
7/30/2026, 8:32:14 AM33 trades$8717 min
5/3/2026, 2:48:14 PM29 trades$6495 min
4/26/2026, 6:18:12 PM17 trades$5267 min
4/25/2026, 5:39:24 AM27 trades$50817 min
5/5/2026, 5:39:02 PM15 trades$4795 min
5/5/2026, 5:24:52 PM33 trades$4708 min
5/12/2026, 10:45:34 PM12 trades$4141 min
5/7/2026, 5:38:08 AM22 trades$34511 min
2/10/2026, 1:19:51 PM10 trades$31915 min
5/8/2026, 3:16:27 PM20 trades$2832 min
2/11/2026, 8:19:45 PM7 trades$2604 min
7/14/2026, 9:14:16 PM15 trades$2295 min
4/29/2026, 11:17:20 PM6 trades$2270 min
2/24/2026, 2:05:08 PM3 trades$2262 min
8/6/2026, 7:03:00 AM21 trades$2172 min
2/24/2026, 3:59:02 PM5 trades$2063 min
2/11/2026, 2:06:27 AM8 trades$2008 min
7/21/2026, 7:19:30 PM4 trades$2001 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-04
01-12
02-03
02-24
03-18
05-10
07-30

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 34 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
9.7% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 8.42/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L82.1 / M17 / H0.9