notterson

@notterson

#3,066,73212

0x0c7f6b69f780ef85f6fe12726bf7a107ff63a160

~15d· 32 markets · 202 tradesVol: $93,2112026-08-04 21:04:52
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

12
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

35% (11/31)2.7/20
0.25x (win $14,777 / loss $60,197)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -10.9970/15
Sortino -9.7530/10
$-0.9125 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 613 (31 markets)9.4/10
4/14 profitable days (29%)0/10
Max DD 2745% of peak ($51,691 / $1,883)0/10

Badges

2
Contrarian
52% entries < $0.55
High Roller
$2,164/day

Categories

2
SPORTS#1,880,454$-19,553Vol: $92,604
CRYPTO#1,534,014$-198Vol: $607

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-19,751
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$93,211
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
32
total markets
Trades
44B / 158S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~15d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
35%
11W / 20L events
Realized PnL
$-19,751
Win Rate
35%
11W / 20L
Profit Factor
0.25x
Avg Win
$1,343
Avg Loss
$-3,010

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $5,941 (0.30082275564916683% of PnL)

Top Winners

Czechia vs. Mexico: Both Teams to Score$2,200
Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox$1,883
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres$1,859
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. St. Louis Cardinals$1,853
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jays$1,520
Scotland vs. Brazil: 2nd Half O/U 2.5$1,276
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Alexander Zverev$1,205
South Africa vs. Korea Republic: 2nd Half O/U 2.5$911
Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox$791
Baltimore Orioles vs. Seattle Mariners$761

Top Losers

Knicks vs. Spurs$-19,920
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights$-5,887
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays$-4,244
Baltimore Orioles vs. Los Angeles Angels$-4,222
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Houston Astros$-2,950
Seattle Mariners vs. Pittsburgh Pirates$-2,440
Chicago Cubs vs. New York Mets$-2,380
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians$-2,050
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox$-1,988
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox$-1,908

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.555
Sortino
-0.590
HHI
838
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.837
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
20%
Top-5 markets
52.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
8.8
Moderate
Markets / Day
1.4
Active Hours
11/24
Normal
Peak Hour
19:00 UTC
Median Gap
24.8m
between trades
Avg Gap
4.3h
between trades
Night Trading
49%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.86
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
35
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.8

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 1487s — normal for humanCV 0.86 — diverse sizes (human-like)49% night trades — never sleeps11/24 hours — normal schedule9 trades/day — normal1.4 markets/day — normal22% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 19:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
6.45
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0%
Mid (20-55c)52.3%
High (>55c)47.7%

Sessions

#12
6/5/2026, 5:26:13 AM2 trades$7,4330 min
6/14/2026, 8:57:09 PM7 trades$6,1320 min
6/25/2026, 12:08:38 AM8 trades$5,9480 min
6/4/2026, 2:03:00 AM9 trades$4,9377 min
6/25/2026, 12:40:08 AM12 trades$4,5860 min
6/14/2026, 7:59:43 PM7 trades$4,0300 min
6/23/2026, 10:16:08 PM2 trades$3,7700 min
6/12/2026, 4:06:12 PM9 trades$3,7603 min
6/10/2026, 1:47:33 AM3 trades$3,0100 min
6/11/2026, 9:20:01 PM6 trades$3,0005 min
6/24/2026, 7:27:44 PM14 trades$2,9910 min
6/9/2026, 9:20:33 PM9 trades$2,9281 min
6/25/2026, 12:30:25 AM16 trades$2,7360 min
6/23/2026, 10:34:46 PM2 trades$2,7110 min
6/4/2026, 1:12:48 AM6 trades$2,6660 min
6/17/2026, 4:00:25 AM5 trades$2,5734 min
6/24/2026, 7:11:49 PM6 trades$2,3330 min
6/25/2026, 12:48:02 AM14 trades$2,2450 min
6/3/2026, 10:40:54 PM2 trades$2,2410 min
6/8/2026, 7:13:04 PM2 trades$2,1070 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-03
06-05
06-08
06-10
06-12
06-17
06-24

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 21 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
78.2% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 6.45/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L0 / M52.3 / H47.7