nub3

@nub3

#2,905,66052

0x198c73bad71bce04f5795a354ee7df41fc487328

~72d· 83 markets · 721 tradesVol: $316,273 @Hola201q12026-08-04 18:55:14
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

52
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

47% (38/81)8.5/20
1.29x (win $13,671 / loss $10,565)6.2/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.96315/15
Sortino 2.61010/10
$+0.0997 per $1 invested5/10
HHI 3524 (81 markets)0/10
23/46 profitable days (50%)5/10
Max DD 57% of peak ($4,064 / $7,170)2.7/10

Badges

3
Contrarian
82% entries < $0.55
DCA Master
Avg 9.4 entries/market
🦉Night Owl
23/24 hours active

Categories

7
CRYPTO#1,661,816$-3,054Vol: $196,825
📢 MENTIONS#171,273$-300Vol: $50,258
SPORTS#18,913$2,296Vol: $31,736
🏛️ POLITICS#17,375$1,053Vol: $9,792
🎭 CULTURE#25,943$68Vol: $6,639
💻 TECH#257,997$-1,504Vol: $3,634
💰 FINANCE#17,869$103Vol: $1,123

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-824
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$316,273
Total Redeem
$17,876
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
83
total markets
Trades
465B / 256S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~72d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
47%
38W / 43L events
Realized PnL
$-824
Win Rate
47%
38W / 43L
Profit Factor
1.29x
Avg Win
$360
Avg Loss
$-258

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $3,375 (4.097378004369993% of PnL)

Top Winners

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?$1,409
Ethereum flipped in 2026?$1,019
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-11?$948
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$885
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group A$858
LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend$798
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-28?$756
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-20?$669
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$596
Games Total: O/U 2.5$569

Top Losers

Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 24, 2026?$-2,735
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET$-1,242
LoL: Shifters vs Los Ratones (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Season$-896
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?$-645
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?$-600
Opinion FDV above $1B one day after launch?$-586
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend$-581
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET$-486
LoL: Team WE vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group Perseverance$-478
HSBC Championships: Marie Bouzkova vs Donna Vekic$-340

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.102
Sortino
0.106
HHI
522
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.091
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
16.4%
Top-5 markets
33.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
3.5
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.4
Active Hours
23/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
7:00 UTC
Median Gap
4.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.6h
between trades
Night Trading
3%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.74
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
7.8

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 248s — normal for humanCV 2.74 — diverse sizes (human-like)3% night trades — normal pattern23/24 hours — around the clock3 trades/day — normal0.4 markets/day — normal53% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 7:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
9.41
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)23.4%
Mid (20-55c)58.5%
High (>55c)18.1%

Sessions

#12
6/1/2026, 6:34:39 PM2 trades$23,0000 min
6/3/2026, 9:47:16 PM4 trades$10,0504 min
5/21/2026, 5:56:40 AM2 trades$10,0000 min
6/1/2026, 5:02:04 PM4 trades$10,0002 min
5/21/2026, 7:55:45 AM2 trades$5,0000 min
6/2/2026, 2:35:21 PM2 trades$1,9460 min
2/13/2026, 2:25:43 PM1 trades$1,6540 min
5/7/2026, 8:53:21 AM20 trades$1,5070 min
6/14/2026, 6:48:31 AM37 trades$1,4942 min
7/24/2026, 11:14:25 AM12 trades$1,4520 min
5/20/2026, 4:50:39 AM2 trades$1,4290 min
3/23/2026, 10:23:21 AM1 trades$1,4000 min
5/20/2026, 5:18:14 AM2 trades$1,2860 min
6/14/2026, 7:03:52 AM126 trades$1,2471 min
1/24/2026, 9:55:40 AM1 trades$1,1900 min
2/15/2026, 11:27:47 AM2 trades$1,0951 min
1/27/2026, 7:40:27 PM1 trades$1,0920 min
6/14/2026, 7:15:19 AM49 trades$1,0738 min
1/27/2026, 6:45:01 AM1 trades$1,0360 min
3/11/2026, 2:26:15 PM1 trades$1,0000 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-30
01-25
02-15
03-26
05-07
06-10
07-08

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 42 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
35.5% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 9.41/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L23.4 / M58.5 / H18.1