nycfan

@nycfan

#23,82966

0x3151713abbfcdfdff6d5101f5e525f90b9e74393

~42d· 44 markets · 833 tradesVol: $796,0352026-08-05 04:32:48
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

66
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

62% (20/32)16.2/20
1.44x (win $41,784 / loss $29,094)8/15
Annualised Sharpe 4.27315/15
Sortino 7.27410/10
$+0.0995 per $1 invested5/10
HHI 1718 (32 markets)3.9/10
9/15 profitable days (60%)7.5/10
Max DD 67% of peak ($11,150 / $16,734)0.7/10

Badges

8
Sniper
Win rate 62%
Profitable
PnL $+6,830
Lottery Player
36% entries < $0.20
DCA Master
Avg 14.1 entries/market
Whale
$127,513 invested
Win Streak
6 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
84% maker orders

Categories

4
🏛️ POLITICS#3,403$11,424Vol: $699,848
CRYPTO#20,858$1,948Vol: $75,831
SPORTS#1,876,215$-8,300Vol: $10,999
💰 FINANCE#9,163$326Vol: $9,357

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$5,398
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$796,035
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
44
total markets
Trades
613B / 220S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~42d

Periods

#2
Today
$1,401
Vol: $38,175
Week
$1,456
Vol: $53,165
Month
$1,274
Vol: $53,426
All Time
$5,398
Vol: $796,035

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
63%
20W / 12L events
Realized PnL
$6,830
Win Rate
63%
20W / 12L
Profit Factor
1.44x
Avg Win
$2,089
Avg Loss
$-2,425

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $27,690 (4.054147956292762% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Zohran Mamdani win by 0-10%?$14,263
Will Grahm Platner drop out before the Midterms?$7,106
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?$6,320
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$3,894
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 20-30%?$2,468
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?$1,584
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 2?$1,560
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$1,069
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$666
Will there be no new Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?$626

Top Losers

Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$-8,733
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-24?$-7,560
Will Qatar strike Iran by March 31?$-3,143
Will Zohran Mamdani win The Bronx in the 2025 New York City Mayoral General Election?$-2,428
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?$-1,960
Democratic sweep?$-1,797
Will Jason Miyares win the 2025 Virginia Attorney General election?$-926
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?$-814
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$-573
Will Antonio Reynoso be the Democratic nominee for NY-07?$-571

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.216
Sortino
0.301
HHI
213
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.176
Kelly %
22.5%
Half-Kelly
11.3%
Top-1 market
6.8%
Top-5 markets
27%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
3.0
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
22:00 UTC
Median Gap
48s
between trades
Avg Gap
34.7m
between trades
Night Trading
26%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.26
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
4 min
Avg Trades / Session
10.7

Bot Detection

#6
35
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 48s — normal for humanCV 3.26 — diverse sizes (human-like)26% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock3 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal84% maker — frequent liquidity provider

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 22:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
14.09
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)36.1%
Mid (20-55c)16%
High (>55c)48%

Sessions

#12
6/3/2026, 11:36:07 PM12 trades$35,9604 min
11/5/2025, 3:20:41 AM14 trades$30,0295 min
2/28/2026, 10:40:09 PM46 trades$12,97232 min
11/4/2025, 10:18:41 PM82 trades$10,5337 min
1/3/2026, 12:26:35 AM17 trades$9,43413 min
11/5/2025, 1:09:45 AM5 trades$8,58515 min
6/25/2026, 12:19:31 AM1 trades$7,5600 min
1/14/2026, 7:23:02 PM1 trades$6,6000 min
8/5/2026, 2:31:53 AM19 trades$6,0505 min
6/2/2026, 2:33:46 PM2 trades$6,0000 min
3/3/2026, 2:23:27 AM3 trades$5,8121 min
5/31/2026, 1:48:52 AM15 trades$5,5660 min
2/6/2026, 1:43:33 PM6 trades$5,3782 min
1/10/2026, 11:26:18 PM1 trades$5,2800 min
3/1/2026, 4:59:53 PM9 trades$5,2006 min
2/1/2026, 5:29:16 AM1 trades$5,0000 min
8/4/2026, 4:21:30 PM8 trades$4,8980 min
3/3/2026, 2:17:21 PM14 trades$4,71619 min
6/1/2026, 1:03:41 PM1 trades$4,4750 min
11/4/2025, 10:31:41 PM30 trades$4,30713 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-04
01-10
02-01
03-01
05-28
06-10
06-23
07-06

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 116 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
26.4% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 14.09/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L36.1 / M16 / H48