@oboltusovao
60x4a6747bf6358ab7a67e6d4c103ec695869ec65c8
~14d· 17 markets · 106 trades2026-08-05 02:22:57
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
6
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
12% (2/16)0/20
0.20x (win $33 / loss $163)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -12.0680/15
Sortino -11.4130/10
$-0.6079 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1389 (16 markets)5.6/10
1/11 profitable days (9%)0/10
Max DD 495% of peak ($163 / $33)0/10
Badges
1Profitable
PnL $+227
Overview
#1Net PnL
$227
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$215
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
17
total markets
Trades
68B / 38S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~14d
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
13%
2W / 14L events
Realized PnL
$227
Win Rate
13%
2W / 14L
Profit Factor
0.2x
Avg Win
$17
Avg Loss
$-15
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $33 (0.14545775113501125% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?$33
Top Losers
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?$-31
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?$-29
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?$-28
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?$-26
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?$-25
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?$-11
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?$-6
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?$-5
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?$-2
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?$-0
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.602
Sortino
-0.872
HHI
1182
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.626
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
17.2%
Top-5 markets
70.4%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
4.1
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.7
Active Hours
15/24
Extended
Peak Hour
15:00 UTC
Median Gap
43.9m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.6h
between trades
Night Trading
3%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.53
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
47
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.3
Bot Detection
#60
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 2634s — normal for humanCV 1.53 — diverse sizes (human-like)3% night trades — normal pattern15/24 hours — normal schedule4 trades/day — normal0.7 markets/day — normal64% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 15:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
6.5
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)10.3%
Mid (20-55c)0%
High (>55c)89.7%
Sessions
#127/15/2026, 2:58:53 PM3 trades$600 min
7/7/2026, 3:46:38 PM2 trades$375 min
7/15/2026, 3:29:22 PM34 trades$182 min
7/22/2026, 1:54:04 AM2 trades$184 min
7/15/2026, 3:16:20 PM2 trades$121 min
7/13/2026, 4:07:50 PM9 trades$111 min
7/11/2026, 1:10:23 AM1 trades$100 min
7/21/2026, 6:50:27 PM2 trades$93 min
7/24/2026, 5:27:13 PM1 trades$90 min
7/10/2026, 3:58:23 PM1 trades$60 min
7/9/2026, 7:13:55 AM2 trades$60 min
7/10/2026, 12:09:47 PM1 trades$60 min
7/21/2026, 2:49:42 PM2 trades$50 min
7/24/2026, 5:51:49 PM1 trades$50 min
7/9/2026, 7:57:49 AM3 trades$40 min
7/22/2026, 7:35:18 PM1 trades$40 min
7/24/2026, 1:22:46 PM1 trades$40 min
7/16/2026, 9:43:08 PM2 trades$40 min
7/9/2026, 5:46:50 PM1 trades$40 min
7/9/2026, 7:04:26 AM1 trades$40 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
07-07
07-08
07-09
07-10
07-11
07-13
07-15
07-17
07-21
07-22
07-24
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 17 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
35.8% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 6.5/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L10.3 / M0 / H89.7