ocpna

@ocpna

#6,82866

0x31060e9b2c0703d6009154e38092d475b00cd672

~331d· 328 markets · 3716 tradesVol: $957,9442026-08-05 16:04:19
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

66
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

45% (130/286)7.7/20
2.25x (win $37,613 / loss $16,681)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.84615/15
Sortino 11.76310/10
$+0.0718 per $1 invested3.6/10
HHI 3305 (286 markets)0/10
70/149 profitable days (47%)4.2/10
Max DD 19% of peak ($4,857 / $25,789)10/10

Badges

8
Profitable
PnL $+23,451
Contrarian
52% entries < $0.55
DCA Master
Avg 11.9 entries/market
Whale
$291,688 invested
Cool Head
Max DD 19%
Win Streak
5 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
70% maker orders

Categories

7
🏛️ POLITICS#1,974$22,858Vol: $795,372
SPORTS#1,761,311$-270Vol: $106,023
CRYPTO#31,066$976Vol: $27,295
🎭 CULTURE#677,610$-8Vol: $21,276
💰 FINANCE#20,432$80Vol: $4,748
📢 MENTIONS#169,592$-211Vol: $1,451
📈 ECONOMICS#28,295$21Vol: $1,198

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$23,451
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$957,944
Total Redeem
$93
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
328
total markets
Trades
2250B / 1466S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~331d

Periods

#2
Today
$-11
Vol: $99
Week
$100
Vol: $236
Month
$81
Vol: $706
All Time
$23,451
Vol: $957,944

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
45%
130W / 156L events
Realized PnL
$23,451
Win Rate
45%
130W / 156L
Profit Factor
2.25x
Avg Win
$289
Avg Loss
$-114

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $24,689 (1.0527880996505865% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?$17,034
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$4,120
Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be greater than 9% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?$3,535
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2,397
Will Andrew Cuomo’s RCV margin of victory be less than 5%?$1,757
Will Rodrigo Paz win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?$812
Mamdani team sweeps primaries?$788
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$760
Trump Sun Belt swing state sweep?$583
Will Andrew Cuomo’s RCV margin of victory be greater than 9% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?$457

Top Losers

Will Omar Fateh win the 2025 Minneapolis mayoral election?$-2,436
Will Jeannette Jara win the Chilean presidential election?$-1,474
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-1,308
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?$-1,175
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-1,125
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-984
Progressive Cities Parlay$-695
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?$-681
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?$-484
Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be greater than 13% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?$-378

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.096
Sortino
0.479
HHI
2173
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.083
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
46.2%
Top-5 markets
54.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
5.0
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.4
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
17:00 UTC
Median Gap
4.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.4h
between trades
Night Trading
19%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
4.43
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
4 min
Avg Trades / Session
12.7

Bot Detection

#6
25
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 250s — normal for humanCV 4.43 — diverse sizes (human-like)19% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock5 trades/day — normal0.4 markets/day — normal70% maker — frequent liquidity provider

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 17:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
11.9
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)26.7%
Mid (20-55c)25.2%
High (>55c)48.1%

Sessions

#12
10/24/2025, 9:22:09 PM1 trades$14,9760 min
10/26/2025, 5:29:07 PM1 trades$14,2500 min
10/24/2025, 3:41:19 PM3 trades$13,9805 min
10/24/2025, 9:35:11 AM48 trades$9,54114 min
10/25/2025, 8:39:11 PM9 trades$8,61513 min
10/26/2025, 8:55:23 PM2 trades$8,6020 min
10/24/2025, 4:52:07 PM296 trades$8,33651 min
10/25/2025, 11:56:41 PM5 trades$8,0441 min
10/24/2025, 5:50:03 PM1 trades$7,4640 min
10/27/2025, 6:31:59 PM1 trades$7,2000 min
10/27/2025, 4:33:31 PM52 trades$7,1856 min
10/27/2025, 5:00:35 PM8 trades$7,1854 min
11/5/2025, 1:43:53 AM9 trades$6,8461 min
10/26/2025, 8:32:27 PM4 trades$6,7022 min
10/27/2025, 3:40:17 PM10 trades$6,6995 min
2/23/2026, 11:45:04 PM9 trades$6,6882 min
10/25/2025, 10:08:41 PM4 trades$6,5002 min
9/5/2025, 8:26:38 PM20 trades$5,97222 min
11/5/2025, 1:21:23 AM1 trades$5,7900 min
10/25/2025, 7:36:55 PM1 trades$5,5750 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
07-18
01-20
06-24
10-20
12-21
03-11
06-26

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 233 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
39.5% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 11.9/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L26.7 / M25.2 / H48.1