@ogwieny

#3,067,17327

0x04162c4bd54e58093af77b4bdbb9bd6751e29b31

~48d· 79 markets · 177 tradesVol: $284,9802026-08-04 17:21:41
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

27
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

54% (43/79)12.2/20
0.52x (win $24,489 / loss $46,700)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -3.9060/15
Sortino -4.4210/10
$-0.1975 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 449 (79 markets)10/10
24/47 profitable days (51%)5.3/10
Max DD 34562% of peak ($35,064 / $101)0/10

Badges

2
Whale
$112,479 invested
Win Streak
12 wins in a row

Categories

2
⚽ SPORTS#1,879,543$-15,717Vol: $251,537
🏛️ POLITICS#1,628,244$-2,533Vol: $25,047

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-21,202
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$284,980
Total Redeem
$9,592
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
79
total markets
Trades
104B / 73S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~48d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
54%
43W / 36L events
Realized PnL
$-21,202
Win Rate
54%
43W / 36L
Profit Factor
0.52x
Avg Win
$570
Avg Loss
$-1,297

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $11,842 (0.5585194415503623% of PnL)

Top Winners

Suns vs. Magic$5,343
Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox$4,345
Timberwolves vs. Pistons$2,154
Will Pascal Siakam Win the 2025 NBA Finals MVP?$1,844
Will Japan win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?$1,753
76ers vs. Warriors$1,631
Will Cameron Young win the 2026 PGA Championship?$1,228
Celtics vs. Bucks$790
Will James Wood win the 2025 MLB Home Run Derby?$704
Pacers vs. Thunder$644

Top Losers

Spread: GB (-7.5)$-7,000
Spread: Broncos (-13.5)$-5,000
Pacers vs. Magic$-3,000
Nuggets vs. Knicks$-2,630
St. John's Red Storm vs. Kansas Jayhawks$-2,596
Hawks vs. Mavericks$-2,294
Sky vs Liberty$-2,168
Chargers vs. Patriots$-2,000
Clippers vs. Grizzlies$-1,949
Spread: Cavaliers (-5.5)$-1,900

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.202
Sortino
-0.213
HHI
366
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.198
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
8.6%
Top-5 markets
34.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.3
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
19/24
Extended
Peak Hour
21:00 UTC
Median Gap
7.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.7h
between trades
Night Trading
16%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.42
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.9

Bot Detection

#6
10
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 438s — normal for humanCV 1.42 — diverse sizes (human-like)16% night trades — unusual hours19/24 hours — extended activity0 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal14% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 21:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.24
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)14.4%
Mid (20-55c)29.8%
High (>55c)55.8%

Sessions

#12
6/22/2026, 10:50:22 PM3 trades$16,3730 min
5/13/2026, 3:26:44 AM2 trades$7,5150 min
9/21/2025, 2:31:28 AM1 trades$7,0000 min
3/31/2026, 5:48:13 PM6 trades$6,1880 min
3/6/2026, 7:05:57 AM4 trades$6,1726 min
6/26/2025, 5:28:59 PM6 trades$6,0002 min
6/22/2025, 9:43:02 AM1 trades$5,5290 min
6/3/2026, 9:53:31 PM2 trades$5,1720 min
1/4/2026, 6:33:07 PM1 trades$5,0000 min
6/21/2026, 6:26:43 PM5 trades$3,1760 min
6/21/2025, 10:38:22 PM2 trades$3,1272 min
7/14/2025, 2:34:34 AM1 trades$3,0000 min
1/4/2026, 9:29:03 AM1 trades$3,0000 min
6/10/2026, 8:16:54 PM8 trades$2,7390 min
2/4/2026, 11:06:41 PM1 trades$2,6300 min
4/2/2026, 4:09:15 AM5 trades$2,6270 min
3/22/2026, 10:44:11 PM2 trades$2,5962 min
6/22/2026, 10:59:55 PM4 trades$2,4200 min
3/18/2026, 6:44:51 AM2 trades$2,2945 min
8/4/2025, 9:06:46 PM2 trades$2,2251 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
08-03
06-16
07-03
08-21
02-16
03-19
06-10

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 596 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
41.2% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.24/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L14.4 / M29.8 / H55.8