@olaszba

#2,845,82213

0x213671a050eef449e58a1a13637c6ec52cb467ea

~35d· 70 markets · 272 tradesVol: $39,8332026-08-04 18:10:41
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

13
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

43% (28/65)6.5/20
0.62x (win $551 / loss $895)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -3.3260/15
Sortino -3.6930/10
$-0.2028 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 4855 (65 markets)0/10
15/27 profitable days (56%)6.4/10
Max DD 4386% of peak ($545 / $12)0/10

Badges

1
Lottery Player
31% entries < $0.20

Categories

8
🏛️ POLITICS#1,573,512$-254Vol: $23,595
📢 MENTIONS#131,248$-11Vol: $10,150
⚽ SPORTS#1,648,615$-79Vol: $1,707
💰 FINANCE#48,496$13Vol: $1,537
₿ CRYPTO#298,455$5Vol: $889
🎭 CULTURE#765,596$-57Vol: $309
🌤️ WEATHER#250,987$-13Vol: $88
📈 ECONOMICS#70,477$3Vol: $14

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-491
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$39,833
Total Redeem
$281
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
70
total markets
Trades
130B / 142S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~35d

Periods

#2
Today
$1
Vol: $0
Week
$-10
Vol: $101
Month
$-40
Vol: $101
All Time
$-491
Vol: $39,833

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
43%
28W / 37L events
Realized PnL
$-491
Win Rate
43%
28W / 37L
Profit Factor
0.62x
Avg Win
$20
Avg Loss
$-28

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $263 (0.5351361257610621% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$134
Will Fidesz-KDNP win at least 80 seats?$74
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?$55
Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?$47
Will Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw?$29
Will Trump or Melania say "Iran" at Chicago Opening Night?$28
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?$25
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?$19
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-27?$16
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?$14

Top Losers

Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?$-230
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?$-152
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?$-108
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?$-60
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?$-44
Will Kanye release BULLY by March 27?$-44
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be László Toroczkai?$-23
Will Trump or Melania say "Chicago" at Chicago Opening Night?$-21
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?$-20
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on July 28?$-20

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.171
Sortino
-0.165
HHI
3810
Concentrated
EV per $1
$-0.140
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
57.3%
Top-5 markets
96.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1.7
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.4
Active Hours
20/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
21:00 UTC
Median Gap
6.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.7h
between trades
Night Trading
3%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.62
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.9

Bot Detection

#6
5
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 392s — normal for humanCV 2.61 — diverse sizes (human-like)3% night trades — normal pattern20/24 hours — extended activity2 trades/day — normal0.4 markets/day — normal37% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 21:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
5.18
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)30.8%
Mid (20-55c)38.5%
High (>55c)30.8%

Sessions

#12
4/24/2026, 6:34:06 PM10 trades$5,4766 min
4/24/2026, 6:39:36 AM2 trades$2,0000 min
4/1/2026, 3:00:09 PM2 trades$1,2500 min
4/24/2026, 6:49:32 AM2 trades$5000 min
6/22/2026, 9:41:25 PM21 trades$4655 min
4/12/2026, 7:26:29 PM2 trades$3830 min
4/6/2026, 4:49:43 PM3 trades$2120 min
4/1/2026, 5:48:57 PM7 trades$1386 min
4/12/2026, 3:59:27 PM6 trades$1321 min
4/1/2026, 12:40:27 PM2 trades$1000 min
4/24/2026, 8:30:42 AM3 trades$980 min
3/31/2026, 7:06:21 PM11 trades$946 min
4/11/2026, 12:19:51 PM4 trades$933 min
6/23/2026, 9:24:10 PM12 trades$876 min
3/28/2026, 10:15:31 AM1 trades$760 min
6/25/2026, 8:25:07 AM6 trades$752 min
3/26/2026, 9:03:01 PM3 trades$721 min
3/27/2026, 7:26:03 AM2 trades$640 min
4/23/2026, 9:06:52 AM4 trades$641 min
7/23/2026, 9:29:36 PM5 trades$632 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-18
03-26
04-06
06-21
06-25
07-02
07-23

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 75 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
2% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
52.2% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 5.18/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L30.8 / M38.5 / H30.8