@olgabelaya

#2,668,06818

0x95b9ab21941bf9530b019b225573a35ad35e0941

~32d· 29 markets · 41 tradesVol: $11,5612026-08-05 15:50:23
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

18
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

41% (11/27)5.4/20
0.43x (win $142 / loss $329)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -6.1540/15
Sortino -6.7130/10
$-0.3496 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 582 (27 markets)9.6/10
11/27 profitable days (41%)2.7/10
Max DD 3945% of peak ($232 / $6)0/10

Badges

1
Contrarian
63% entries < $0.55

Categories

4
⚽ SPORTS#1,708,478$-134Vol: $11,086
₿ CRYPTO#1,101,256$-8Vol: $323
🏛️ POLITICS#358,242$1Vol: $119
💻 TECH#235,927$-20Vol: $32

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-161
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$11,561
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
29
total markets
Trades
35B / 6S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~32d

Periods

#2
Today
$1
Vol: $0
Week
$0
Vol: $78
Month
$-1
Vol: $111
All Time
$-161
Vol: $11,561

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
41%
11W / 16L events
Realized PnL
$-161
Win Rate
41%
11W / 16L
Profit Factor
0.43x
Avg Win
$13
Avg Loss
$-21

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $79 (0.4882320064584239% of PnL)

Top Winners

Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET$39
Bitcoin Up or Down on April 21?$20
Nuggets vs. Clippers$20
Bitcoin Up or Down on February 14?$19
Nuggets vs. Nets$17
Dodgers vs. Phillies$16
Timberwolves vs. Suns$6
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by September 30?$2
Ethereum Up or Down on May 18?$1
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by July 31?$1

Top Losers

Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?$-70
Predators vs. Flyers$-38
Islanders vs. Ducks$-21
Timberwolves vs. Grizzlies$-21
OpenAI browser by October 31?$-20
Senators vs. Red Wings$-20
Yankees vs. Marlins$-20
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 3?$-20
Capitals vs. Rangers$-20
Buffalo vs. Central Michigan$-19

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.316
Sortino
-0.439
HHI
538
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.343
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
13.1%
Top-5 markets
35.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.1
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
18/24
Extended
Peak Hour
13:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.0h
between trades
Avg Gap
8.3h
between trades
Night Trading
17%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.50
Moderate
Session Statistics
Sessions
35
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.2

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
MEDIUM
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 10970s — normal for humanCV 0.50 — uniform order sizes17% night trades — unusual hours18/24 hours — extended activity0 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal29% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 13:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.41
Single entry

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)20%
Mid (20-55c)42.9%
High (>55c)37.1%

Sessions

#12
8/4/2026, 1:49:44 PM4 trades$772 min
3/31/2025, 5:07:11 AM1 trades$380 min
3/8/2025, 9:16:07 PM1 trades$210 min
4/9/2025, 6:26:31 PM1 trades$210 min
4/20/2025, 3:38:04 AM1 trades$210 min
10/5/2025, 2:30:11 AM1 trades$210 min
5/2/2025, 8:56:26 AM1 trades$200 min
5/18/2025, 11:32:53 AM1 trades$200 min
5/27/2025, 3:05:23 PM1 trades$200 min
7/6/2025, 4:55:35 AM1 trades$200 min
8/1/2025, 5:05:54 PM1 trades$200 min
8/28/2025, 8:10:15 PM1 trades$200 min
10/17/2025, 6:02:35 AM1 trades$200 min
1/3/2026, 9:51:51 AM1 trades$200 min
2/13/2026, 10:30:35 AM1 trades$200 min
3/24/2026, 3:22:57 PM1 trades$200 min
3/5/2025, 7:05:13 AM1 trades$200 min
11/11/2025, 4:31:10 PM1 trades$190 min
3/21/2025, 7:23:03 AM1 trades$180 min
10/12/2025, 9:01:04 AM1 trades$180 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-02
03-21
05-02
08-01
10-12
01-03
05-02

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 461 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
14.6% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.41/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L20 / M42.9 / H37.1