@one-and-only

#255,53730

0xf025f189860935d8cba60f248dcace167f9f48f8

~21d· 21 markets · 202 tradesVol: $64,4802026-08-05 01:19:04
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

30
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

62% (13/21)16/20
0.90x (win $6,372 / loss $7,098)1.2/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.7030/15
Sortino -0.9030/10
$-0.0585 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1527 (21 markets)4.9/10
8/13 profitable days (62%)7.9/10
Max DD 117% of peak ($5,097 / $4,370)0/10

Badges

5
Sniper
Win rate 62%
Profitable
PnL $+88
DCA Master
Avg 10.1 entries/market
Consistent
8/13 profitable days
Win Streak
5 wins in a row

Categories

3
🏛️ POLITICS#23,845$632Vol: $35,861
SPORTS#1,798,279$-523Vol: $27,971
📈 ECONOMICS#24,178$29Vol: $566

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$88
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$64,480
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
21
total markets
Trades
78B / 124S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~21d

Periods

#2
Today
$79
Vol: $0
Week
$-12
Vol: $3,797
Month
$527
Vol: $5,827
All Time
$88
Vol: $64,480

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
62%
13W / 8L events
Realized PnL
$88
Win Rate
62%
13W / 8L
Profit Factor
0.9x
Avg Win
$490
Avg Loss
$-887

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $4,464 (50.76481291936768% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?$2,322
Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by July 31, 2026?$1,461
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$681
Norway vs. England: Team to Advance$411
Will there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by July 24, 2026?$350
Will USD reach 1.9M Iranian rials by July 31?$336
England vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5$291
Canada vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 2.5$183
Canada vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5$138
Will SK Slavia Praha win on 2026-08-01?$123

Top Losers

Iran full airspace closure by July 31?$-3,932
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?$-1,000
US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?$-967
Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 1.5$-500
Will Brazil vs. Norway end in a draw?$-290
Will Hibernian FC win on 2026-08-02?$-220
Falkirk FC vs. St Mirren FC: O/U 2.5$-100
Japan vs. Italy$-89

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.035
Sortino
-0.038
HHI
1390
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.056
Kelly %
3.3%
Half-Kelly
1.7%
Top-1 market
28.9%
Top-5 markets
67.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
6.3
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.7
Active Hours
17/24
Extended
Peak Hour
21:00 UTC
Median Gap
18.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.6h
between trades
Night Trading
11%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.22
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.8

Bot Detection

#6
0
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 1104s — normal for humanCV 1.21 — diverse sizes (human-like)11% night trades — normal pattern17/24 hours — normal schedule6 trades/day — normal0.7 markets/day — normal39% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 21:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
10.1
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)9%
Mid (20-55c)21.8%
High (>55c)69.2%

Sessions

#12
7/16/2026, 9:39:17 PM2 trades$4,1380 min
7/16/2026, 9:48:20 PM9 trades$1,7814 min
7/5/2026, 8:31:31 PM8 trades$1,7241 min
7/29/2026, 12:19:47 PM6 trades$1,4595 min
7/12/2026, 3:17:35 AM13 trades$1,3981 min
7/11/2026, 11:47:46 PM2 trades$1,2590 min
7/11/2026, 10:14:50 PM6 trades$1,1652 min
7/27/2026, 4:52:58 PM4 trades$1,1540 min
7/25/2026, 2:38:54 PM3 trades$1,0000 min
7/22/2026, 9:37:40 PM5 trades$7873 min
7/22/2026, 9:12:42 PM8 trades$7050 min
7/27/2026, 5:39:37 PM3 trades$6720 min
7/17/2026, 11:23:58 PM2 trades$6700 min
7/22/2026, 8:34:19 PM5 trades$6630 min
7/15/2026, 8:47:14 PM8 trades$6560 min
7/24/2026, 8:31:27 PM3 trades$6300 min
7/4/2026, 6:47:17 PM4 trades$5454 min
7/11/2026, 8:59:43 PM4 trades$3702 min
7/22/2026, 8:57:57 PM1 trades$3500 min
7/30/2026, 5:40:45 AM4 trades$3380 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
07-02
07-05
07-11
07-15
07-24
07-30
08-02

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 9 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
61.4% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 10.1/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L9 / M21.8 / H69.2