@onlywinYY

#39,68924

0x407910fd97c4f85179579e5d6c6196f1a1d27126

~94d· 321 markets · 2496 tradesVol: $216,9892026-08-04 20:20:52
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

24
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

50% (149/300)9.8/20
0.82x (win $13,566 / loss $16,463)0.3/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.8930/15
Sortino -1.3780/10
$-0.0761 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 208 (300 markets)10/10
34/77 profitable days (44%)3.5/10
Max DD 327% of peak ($7,573 / $2,317)0/10

Badges

4
Profitable
PnL $+2,837
DCA Master
Avg 8.8 entries/market
Win Streak
10 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

9
SPORTS#1,627,140$-65Vol: $72,712
🌤️ WEATHER#958$1,954Vol: $56,416
🏛️ POLITICS#21,417$756Vol: $46,695
💻 TECH#3,459$249Vol: $11,480
CRYPTO#1,102,415$-8Vol: $11,171
📢 MENTIONS#158,387$-58Vol: $11,040
🎭 CULTURE#766,547$-59Vol: $3,436
💰 FINANCE#33,158$30Vol: $2,318
📈 ECONOMICS#23,336$31Vol: $1,701

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$2,837
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$216,989
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
321
total markets
Trades
1419B / 1077S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~94d

Periods

#2
Today
$90
Vol: $603
Week
$66
Vol: $1,935
Month
$254
Vol: $3,100
All Time
$2,837
Vol: $216,989

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
50%
149W / 150L events
Realized PnL
$2,837
Win Rate
50%
149W / 150L
Profit Factor
0.82x
Avg Win
$91
Avg Loss
$-114

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $7,113 (2.5077505032450933% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5,034
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$1,526
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?$553
Knicks vs. Spurs$512
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?$405
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?$355
GPT-5.6 released by July 8, 2026?$349
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?$248
Will Trump visit China by May 31?$225
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C or higher on July 9?$215

Top Losers

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-2,768
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$-1,632
US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?$-928
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?$-880
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?$-832
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$-624
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 9?$-582
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?$-472
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?$-439
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?$-401

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.046
Sortino
-0.059
HHI
418
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.059
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
10.7%
Top-5 markets
36.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
17.1
Active
Markets / Day
2.2
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
11:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.1h
between trades
Night Trading
12%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.39
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
5 min
Avg Trades / Session
18.3

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 128s — normal for humanCV 2.39 — diverse sizes (human-like)12% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock17 trades/day — very active2.2 markets/day — normal55% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 11:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
8.83
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)29.7%
Mid (20-55c)11.2%
High (>55c)59.1%

Sessions

#12
6/14/2026, 11:42:40 AM113 trades$3,48840 min
5/27/2026, 1:34:17 PM22 trades$2,33214 min
6/14/2026, 10:31:19 AM284 trades$1,57866 min
5/31/2026, 2:59:34 AM6 trades$1,3892 min
6/14/2026, 9:28:57 AM60 trades$1,13614 min
6/22/2026, 7:19:02 PM2 trades$1,1100 min
7/14/2026, 8:45:50 AM3 trades$1,0000 min
7/8/2026, 5:16:37 AM47 trades$8369 min
5/22/2026, 2:02:38 PM4 trades$7681 min
7/4/2026, 8:08:10 AM3 trades$7380 min
5/14/2026, 5:16:24 PM24 trades$7181 min
6/8/2026, 6:40:46 AM4 trades$7164 min
6/15/2026, 8:49:51 AM4 trades$6771 min
6/13/2026, 6:09:21 PM3 trades$6450 min
7/9/2026, 5:36:46 AM13 trades$6302 min
5/11/2026, 7:29:10 AM1 trades$6170 min
6/15/2026, 1:18:31 AM2 trades$6000 min
7/23/2026, 4:17:16 AM6 trades$6000 min
6/25/2026, 2:30:19 PM2 trades$5980 min
6/15/2026, 4:14:27 PM6 trades$5950 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-12
03-26
05-20
06-04
06-18
07-04
07-23

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 31 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
10% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
43.1% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 8.83/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L29.7 / M11.2 / H59.1