@operationcastle
#357820xd3a6e523c440f94f9259398fbcf7b5cc5ccffd55
~444d· 1018 markets · 21153 tradesVol: $16,462,0612026-08-04 21:13:21
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
82
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
50% (500/997)10.1/20
1.81x (win $1,398,363 / loss $772,177)12.6/15
Annualised Sharpe 2.24815/15
Sortino 5.96310/10
$+0.1928 per $1 invested9.6/10
HHI 146 (997 markets)10/10
137/294 profitable days (47%)4.1/10
Max DD 14% of peak ($90,850 / $628,186)10/10
Badges
9Profitable
PnL $+565,538
Lottery Player
55% entries < $0.20
DCA Master
Avg 22.0 entries/market
Whale
$3,247,572 invested
High Roller
$4,646/day
Cool Head
Max DD 14%
Win Streak
8 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
90% maker orders
Categories
9🏛️ POLITICS#85$537,993Vol: $12,744,409
⚽ SPORTS#1,881,750$-16,441Vol: $1,570,778
📈 ECONOMICS#681,754$-3,331Vol: $1,197,519
🎭 CULTURE#665$12,602Vol: $543,777
₿ CRYPTO#23,932$1,561Vol: $146,412
💻 TECH#258,216$-1,760Vol: $38,586
📢 MENTIONS#173,092$-475Vol: $8,360
💰 FINANCE#652,731$-773Vol: $7,318
🌤️ WEATHER#6,842$106Vol: $400
Overview
#1Net PnL
$565,458
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$16,462,061
Total Redeem
$9,068
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
1018
total markets
Trades
17091B / 4062S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~444d
Periods
#2Today
$784
Vol: $18,280
Week
$788
Vol: $18,723
Month
$767
Vol: $18,723
All Time
$565,458
Vol: $16,462,061
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
50%
500W / 497L events
Realized PnL
$565,538
Win Rate
50%
500W / 497L
Profit Factor
1.81x
Avg Win
$2,797
Avg Loss
$-1,566
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $217,704 (0.38495017001069515% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?$77,404
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$74,786
Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?$65,514
Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?$63,649
Will Lee Jae-myung win 45-50% of the vote in the South Korea election?$57,871
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?$52,735
Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?$51,393
Andrew Cuomo gets the most first-choice votes in the 2025 New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?$38,258
Will Rodrigo Paz win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?$35,255
Will Robert Francis Prevost be the next pope?$33,639
Top Losers
Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?$-62,920
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$-36,242
Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$-35,755
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 0-10%?$-26,832
Will the 2025 Taiwanese referendum pass?$-19,936
Will Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$-19,871
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$-17,700
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?$-17,346
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 20-30%?$-16,403
Will Nicușor Dan win by 6–12%?$-15,901
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.117
Sortino
0.246
HHI
130
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.179
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
4.3%
Top-5 markets
16.9%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
30.3
Active
Markets / Day
1.5
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
18:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
28.4m
between trades
Night Trading
30%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
5.37
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
9 min
Avg Trades / Session
16.5
Bot Detection
#660
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 82s — normal for humanCV 5.37 — diverse sizes (human-like)30% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock30 trades/day — high frequency1.5 markets/day — normal90% maker — systematic market making
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 18:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
21.96
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)55.4%
Mid (20-55c)26.5%
High (>55c)18.1%
Sessions
#126/25/2025, 1:02:31 AM22 trades$184,71120 min
6/24/2025, 11:53:17 PM47 trades$137,44826 min
6/25/2025, 1:58:21 AM3 trades$93,9435 min
6/3/2025, 1:15:56 PM91 trades$87,15960 min
6/28/2025, 2:21:03 PM1 trades$74,6160 min
9/22/2025, 4:54:16 AM1 trades$57,5850 min
6/25/2025, 12:52:19 AM4 trades$53,3511 min
5/19/2026, 10:36:11 PM103 trades$53,22115 min
4/29/2025, 2:07:38 AM14 trades$48,86718 min
6/2/2025, 3:56:49 AM1 trades$44,9170 min
4/13/2026, 12:58:15 AM95 trades$42,85534 min
6/3/2025, 2:29:06 PM12 trades$42,5394 min
10/4/2025, 12:00:45 PM3 trades$35,9973 min
7/8/2025, 10:22:37 PM6 trades$31,0090 min
6/1/2025, 11:24:45 PM5 trades$29,1703 min
4/13/2026, 5:20:07 PM23 trades$27,74914 min
5/14/2025, 3:14:06 PM2 trades$27,6571 min
4/1/2026, 1:44:59 AM15 trades$27,0385 min
6/18/2025, 3:38:28 AM14 trades$26,96614 min
11/5/2025, 2:02:41 AM8 trades$26,17012 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
09-05
10-28
04-13
08-12
10-29
02-13
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 2 days (recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
19.2% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 21.96/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L55.4 / M26.5 / H18.1