@opn3b

#2,860,97616

0x97233c31052eba5f7e5ba5300d0cd4321cfc0e2e

~16d· 21 markets · 90 tradesVol: $28,6132026-08-04 22:40:28
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

16
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

50% (10/20)10/20
0.66x (win $4,575 / loss $6,909)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.7920/15
Sortino -2.1300/10
$-0.1195 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 3125 (20 markets)0/10
8/15 profitable days (53%)5.8/10
Max DD 2577% of peak ($6,026 / $234)0/10

Badges

1
DCA Master
Avg 5.8 entries/market

Categories

5
SPORTS#129,250$88Vol: $16,195
🏛️ POLITICS#107,006$35Vol: $3,478
CRYPTO#352,713$2Vol: $3,124
💰 FINANCE#641,924$-198Vol: $3,020
📈 ECONOMICS#675,409$-471Vol: $2,796

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-544
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$28,613
Total Redeem
$1,213
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
21
total markets
Trades
33B / 57S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~16d

Periods

#2
Today
$2
Vol: $0
Week
$4
Vol: $0
Month
$-1
Vol: $0
All Time
$-544
Vol: $28,613

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
50%
10W / 10L events
Realized PnL
$-544
Win Rate
50%
10W / 10L
Profit Factor
0.66x
Avg Win
$457
Avg Loss
$-768

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $4,373 (8.040231681529834% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$3,448
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$693
Will Japan win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$232
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by March 31, 2026?$95
Will the Tampa Bay Lightning win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?$75
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?$14
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?$10
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?$5
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?$3
Ethereum all time high by March 31, 2026?$1

Top Losers

Starmer out by June 30, 2026?$-5,302
Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-561
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?$-475
Will Vertiv Holdings (VRT) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?$-299
Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-163
Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by March 31?$-60
Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?$-44
Will Netflix (NFLX) close above $120 end of January?$-4

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.091
Sortino
-0.075
HHI
8872
Concentrated
EV per $1
$-0.075
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
91.3%
Top-5 markets
132.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.6
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
12/24
Extended
Peak Hour
23:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.0h
between trades
Night Trading
27%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.75
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
23
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.9

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 206s — normal for humanCV 1.75 — diverse sizes (human-like)27% night trades — never sleeps12/24 hours — normal schedule1 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal24% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 23:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
5.75
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)27.3%
Mid (20-55c)6.1%
High (>55c)66.7%

Sessions

#12
5/24/2026, 7:58:25 PM18 trades$6,4802 min
6/12/2026, 11:59:31 PM2 trades$4,9740 min
5/24/2026, 9:04:54 AM10 trades$1,7452 min
5/26/2026, 7:58:35 PM6 trades$1,7420 min
4/5/2026, 5:14:25 AM2 trades$1,3330 min
7/6/2026, 3:14:35 AM4 trades$1,2380 min
1/28/2026, 8:23:35 AM1 trades$1,1640 min
6/10/2026, 12:17:40 AM2 trades$1,0790 min
7/1/2026, 8:00:29 AM2 trades$9850 min
2/1/2026, 5:19:22 AM1 trades$8990 min
3/20/2026, 3:19:49 AM4 trades$7078 min
6/10/2026, 11:14:30 PM2 trades$6810 min
7/1/2026, 8:06:19 AM2 trades$6220 min
5/11/2026, 12:59:28 AM4 trades$6112 min
1/26/2026, 9:22:25 AM1 trades$5050 min
5/2/2026, 2:26:38 AM3 trades$5020 min
6/9/2026, 11:59:22 PM12 trades$4250 min
1/30/2026, 7:55:38 AM1 trades$2990 min
5/1/2026, 11:54:38 PM5 trades$1860 min
1/28/2026, 8:14:09 AM3 trades$602 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-26
01-30
03-20
05-01
05-11
05-26
06-12
07-06

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 17 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
63.3% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 5.75/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L27.3 / M6.1 / H66.7