@orange.juice
#5,301620x11e10b40d9b2b365ce9d6cbc37ee9b0e8f465621
~25d· 172 markets · 4454 tradesVol: $2,120,9572026-08-04 16:20:51
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
62
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
47% (80/172)8.3/20
1.44x (win $206,540 / loss $143,466)8/15
Annualised Sharpe 3.28415/15
Sortino 6.66810/10
$+0.0955 per $1 invested4.8/10
HHI 407 (172 markets)10/10
13/25 profitable days (52%)5.5/10
Max DD 70% of peak ($44,257 / $63,074)0/10
Badges
6Profitable
PnL $+31,790
Contrarian
51% entries < $0.55
DCA Master
Avg 28.4 entries/market
Whale
$660,255 invested
High Roller
$17,845/day
Win Streak
6 wins in a row
Categories
1⚽ SPORTS#1,960$31,790Vol: $2,120,957
Overview
#1Net PnL
$31,790
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$2,120,957
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
172
total markets
Trades
1432B / 3022S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~25d
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
47%
80W / 92L events
Realized PnL
$31,790
Win Rate
47%
80W / 92L
Profit Factor
1.44x
Avg Win
$2,582
Avg Loss
$-1,630
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $83,676 (2.632149862913383% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$40,064
Norway vs. England: Team to Advance$29,918
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-27?$13,694
Will France win on 2026-06-16?$10,853
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?$8,746
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-27?$7,261
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22?$5,912
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5,813
Will Algeria vs. Austria end in a draw?$5,549
Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?$5,060
Top Losers
Will England win on 2026-06-23?$-18,018
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?$-16,041
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?$-15,934
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-14,599
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?$-12,293
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21?$-6,266
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?$-5,805
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?$-5,198
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-24?$-4,386
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-26?$-3,672
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.168
Sortino
0.333
HHI
822
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.079
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
23.4%
Top-5 markets
48.4%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
120.4
Very active
Markets / Day
4.6
Active Hours
19/24
Extended
Peak Hour
21:00 UTC
Median Gap
55s
between trades
Avg Gap
23.1m
between trades
Night Trading
41%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.37
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
9 min
Avg Trades / Session
46.3
Bot Detection
#650
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 55s — normal for humanCV 2.37 — diverse sizes (human-like)41% night trades — never sleeps19/24 hours — extended activity120 trades/day — automation4.6 markets/day — normal32% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 21:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
28.42
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)27%
Mid (20-55c)24%
High (>55c)49.1%
Sessions
#127/19/2026, 9:48:54 PM80 trades$87,73913 min
7/19/2026, 9:08:28 PM71 trades$78,41623 min
7/12/2026, 3:32:05 AM18 trades$35,4865 min
6/24/2026, 10:03:01 PM92 trades$25,44830 min
6/24/2026, 11:38:56 PM65 trades$24,1098 min
6/23/2026, 12:46:50 AM18 trades$22,5778 min
6/26/2026, 7:20:34 PM96 trades$22,21222 min
7/14/2026, 7:19:32 PM28 trades$19,9479 min
6/28/2026, 1:22:23 AM73 trades$18,3636 min
7/11/2026, 11:09:32 PM34 trades$17,9598 min
6/24/2026, 7:42:17 PM66 trades$17,77710 min
6/22/2026, 5:07:05 PM73 trades$17,63310 min
6/25/2026, 8:02:17 PM69 trades$16,6969 min
6/24/2026, 3:36:28 AM81 trades$16,51315 min
6/27/2026, 11:31:41 PM93 trades$16,21720 min
7/11/2026, 10:16:52 PM15 trades$15,7803 min
7/11/2026, 10:07:53 PM16 trades$15,6611 min
6/23/2026, 4:37:26 AM62 trades$15,61111 min
7/11/2026, 11:40:17 PM21 trades$14,8074 min
6/26/2026, 7:07:59 PM29 trades$14,5497 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-13
06-17
06-21
06-25
06-29
07-03
07-19
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 6 days (recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
67.8% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 28.42/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L27 / M24 / H49.1