@orcyun32
#2,859,629280x630378fc0586bf69493d14cf276518f741da7be9
~34d· 66 markets · 171 tradesVol: $8,1762026-08-05 16:38:53
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
28
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
53% (31/58)11.7/20
0.42x (win $654 / loss $1,565)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -3.3540/15
Sortino -3.4360/10
$-0.1675 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 662 (58 markets)9.2/10
18/30 profitable days (60%)7.5/10
Max DD 2439% of peak ($1,212 / $50)0/10
Categories
6💰 FINANCE#12,889$186Vol: $3,872
⚽ SPORTS#1,808,694$-637Vol: $2,491
🏛️ POLITICS#1,247,485$-9Vol: $682
₿ CRYPTO#1,514,958$-153Vol: $668
📈 ECONOMICS#14,729$74Vol: $348
💻 TECH#23,416$6Vol: $114
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-534
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$8,176
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
66
total markets
Trades
98B / 73S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~34d
Periods
#2Today
$-11
Vol: $0
Week
$-21
Vol: $0
Month
$-15
Vol: $0
All Time
$-534
Vol: $8,176
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
53%
31W / 27L events
Realized PnL
$-534
Win Rate
53%
31W / 27L
Profit Factor
0.42x
Avg Win
$21
Avg Loss
$-71
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $315 (0.5906245314140052% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?$223
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$46
Will Google have the #3 AI model at the end of March 2026?$46
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?$37
Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$36
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$32
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$28
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?$24
First to 5k: Gold or ETH?$24
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$22
Top Losers
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?$-400
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?$-400
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2026 Western Conference Finals MVP?$-220
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?$-200
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$-100
Will André Ventura win the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$-40
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on January 21?$-40
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?$-30
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $90,000 and $92,000 on January 22?$-20
Timberwolves vs. Rockets$-20
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.173
Sortino
-0.110
HHI
889
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.167
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
23.9%
Top-5 markets
52.5%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
0.7
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.3
Active Hours
17/24
Extended
Peak Hour
3:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.9h
between trades
Night Trading
61%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.79
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
45
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.8
Bot Detection
#615
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 66s — normal for humanCV 1.80 — diverse sizes (human-like)61% night trades — never sleeps17/24 hours — normal schedule1 trades/day — normal0.3 markets/day — normal20% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 3:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
2.78
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)3.1%
Mid (20-55c)25.5%
High (>55c)71.4%
Sessions
#123/25/2026, 6:35:15 PM6 trades$1,8022 min
6/7/2026, 4:39:00 AM8 trades$5971 min
7/13/2026, 6:34:55 AM6 trades$5281 min
1/16/2026, 7:25:24 AM5 trades$4504 min
5/24/2026, 6:08:34 AM9 trades$4281 min
5/26/2026, 3:17:07 AM14 trades$3812 min
4/13/2026, 5:45:43 AM11 trades$3332 min
7/29/2026, 3:49:17 AM2 trades$3000 min
1/15/2026, 5:36:16 AM4 trades$2866 min
7/18/2026, 3:59:13 AM14 trades$2831 min
7/3/2026, 1:52:16 AM7 trades$2573 min
5/3/2026, 3:36:50 PM12 trades$2507 min
6/6/2026, 4:45:12 AM2 trades$1700 min
1/24/2026, 3:59:00 AM3 trades$1643 min
5/31/2026, 3:57:39 AM2 trades$1560 min
1/22/2026, 2:11:54 PM1 trades$1410 min
7/20/2026, 2:27:51 AM2 trades$1400 min
7/11/2026, 3:21:08 AM4 trades$1303 min
3/5/2026, 12:58:55 PM2 trades$1023 min
1/13/2026, 4:03:37 AM6 trades$703 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-04
01-16
01-21
01-31
04-13
06-07
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 48 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
42.7% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.78/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L3.1 / M25.5 / H71.4