@ordobar

#291,0940

0x6c2d097c5c823566bd254be1062b44535ec825c1

~50d· 64 markets · 196 tradesVol: $133,3402026-08-05 16:37:32
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

0
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

16% (9/56)0/20
0.57x (win $553 / loss $979)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -2.3660/15
Sortino -2.9830/10
$-0.1145 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 2771 (56 markets)0/10
5/35 profitable days (14%)0/10
Max DD 43545% of peak ($427 / $1)0/10

Badges

2
Profitable
PnL $+62
Lottery Player
79% entries < $0.20

Categories

6
🎭 CULTURE#782,630$-103Vol: $109,360
🏛️ POLITICS#29,565$429Vol: $13,249
SPORTS#1,723,722$-161Vol: $7,991
💻 TECH#250,892$-121Vol: $1,175
CRYPTO#197,437$16Vol: $1,155
💰 FINANCE#97,194$3Vol: $410

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$62
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$133,340
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
64
total markets
Trades
133B / 63S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~50d

Periods

#2
Today
$-7
Vol: $0
Week
$22
Vol: $0
Month
$-4
Vol: $0
All Time
$62
Vol: $133,340

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
16%
9W / 47L events
Realized PnL
$62
Win Rate
16%
9W / 47L
Profit Factor
0.57x
Avg Win
$61
Avg Loss
$-25

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $473 (7.632564143940616% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez be named in newly released Epstein files?$328
Will Joe Biden be named in newly released Epstein files?$98
Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$47
Will Trump pardon less than 250 Jan 6 protestors in his first 100 days?$43
Will Jimmy Kimmel rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?$17
Will Larry Page be named in newly released Epstein files?$17
Bitcoin above $103,000 on January 24?$3
Will Estonia win Eurovision 2025?$0
Will Oprah Winfrey be named in newly released Epstein files?$0

Top Losers

Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?$-417
Will Trump win FIFA Peace Prize?$-137
Will a balloon deflate during the 2025 Macy's Thanksgiving Day Parade?$-70
Will Kendrick Lamar rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?$-67
Will Trump pardon Ross Ulbricht in his first 100 days?$-42
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$-36
Will Donald Trump rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?$-30
Will Pope Francis be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Passings?$-17
Will Schumer remain Minority Leader through March 31?$-13
Will Ethan Hawke win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$-13

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.122
Sortino
-0.142
HHI
543
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.252
Kelly %
8.0%
Half-Kelly
4.0%
Top-1 market
22.3%
Top-5 markets
33.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.4
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
19/24
Extended
Peak Hour
17:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.6m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.7h
between trades
Night Trading
2%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.60
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.3

Bot Detection

#6
5
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 218s — normal for humanCV 3.60 — diverse sizes (human-like)2% night trades — normal pattern19/24 hours — extended activity0 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal34% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 17:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.38
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)78.9%
Mid (20-55c)6.8%
High (>55c)14.3%

Sessions

#12
7/30/2026, 1:42:30 PM14 trades$1,9440 min
6/4/2026, 3:57:31 PM2 trades$1,1280 min
12/24/2025, 9:55:11 AM1 trades$5390 min
3/2/2026, 8:04:33 PM2 trades$4202 min
5/16/2026, 8:56:16 PM11 trades$4060 min
5/16/2026, 9:29:20 PM1 trades$2090 min
1/3/2026, 3:18:51 PM7 trades$1925 min
11/15/2025, 4:33:26 PM3 trades$803 min
11/24/2025, 7:37:09 PM1 trades$650 min
11/24/2025, 7:46:55 PM1 trades$650 min
11/24/2025, 9:10:45 PM1 trades$630 min
11/17/2025, 9:50:13 PM5 trades$634 min
4/27/2025, 4:51:09 PM2 trades$612 min
1/30/2025, 11:32:30 PM3 trades$613 min
3/2/2026, 7:09:19 PM1 trades$520 min
11/28/2025, 10:31:37 PM1 trades$500 min
1/21/2025, 3:19:23 PM2 trades$451 min
6/5/2026, 2:56:48 PM3 trades$400 min
11/25/2025, 3:33:27 PM1 trades$360 min
7/20/2026, 7:20:37 PM2 trades$310 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-21
02-07
05-15
11-16
11-30
12-24
06-08

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 175 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
32.1% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.38/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L78.9 / M6.8 / H14.3