osniman

@osniman

#2,825,44010

0x539eacb61626506aa195d95825ab84b671d93cce

~77d· 165 markets · 2578 tradesVol: $308,4122026-08-04 18:13:41
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

10
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

28% (46/165)0/20
0.52x (win $1,046 / loss $2,017)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -4.8820/15
Sortino -5.2380/10
$-0.1899 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 488 (165 markets)10/10
19/64 profitable days (30%)0/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($981 / $0)0/10

Badges

2
Lottery Player
69% entries < $0.20
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

4
🎭 CULTURE#802,790$-369Vol: $295,161
SPORTS#410,312$1Vol: $13,026
CRYPTO#1,225,485$-16Vol: $157
💰 FINANCE#608,213$-31Vol: $68

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-415
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$308,412
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
165
total markets
Trades
1668B / 910S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~77d

Periods

#2
Today
$-16
Vol: $0
Week
$-18
Vol: $424
Month
$-54
Vol: $955
All Time
$-415
Vol: $308,412

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
28%
46W / 116L events
Realized PnL
$-415
Win Rate
28%
46W / 116L
Profit Factor
0.52x
Avg Win
$23
Avg Loss
$-18

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $363 (0.8750994047762488% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 16 to February 18, 2026?$139
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?$114
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 21 to February 23, 2026?$110
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?$84
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$66
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from February 19 to February 21, 2026?$59
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?$55
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?$42
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?$34
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?$33

Top Losers

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 16 to February 18, 2026?$-218
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?$-130
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?$-85
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?$-81
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?$-69
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 21 to February 23, 2026?$-66
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from February 21 to February 23, 2026?$-58
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?$-52
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?$-49
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?$-45

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.254
Sortino
-0.265
HHI
233
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.184
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
7.5%
Top-5 markets
26.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
15.0
Active
Markets / Day
1.0
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
14:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
44.1m
between trades
Night Trading
4%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.60
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
6 min
Avg Trades / Session
8.2

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 212s — normal for humanCV 1.60 — diverse sizes (human-like)4% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock15 trades/day — very active1.0 markets/day — normal65% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 14:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
16.02
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)69.5%
Mid (20-55c)15.8%
High (>55c)14.7%

Sessions

#12
7/7/2026, 7:34:40 PM6 trades$2,0405 min
6/9/2026, 5:01:34 PM14 trades$2,02012 min
7/8/2026, 1:22:58 PM2 trades$1,0000 min
7/26/2026, 1:42:03 PM2 trades$1,0000 min
7/9/2026, 10:15:32 PM4 trades$6680 min
7/8/2026, 1:02:04 PM4 trades$6205 min
6/24/2026, 4:06:58 PM2 trades$5000 min
7/7/2026, 9:15:07 PM2 trades$5000 min
7/25/2026, 6:10:01 PM2 trades$4430 min
7/25/2026, 5:00:51 PM3 trades$4000 min
6/24/2026, 7:26:02 PM3 trades$3784 min
6/5/2026, 5:55:00 PM24 trades$26716 min
2/17/2026, 2:15:11 PM18 trades$24226 min
7/28/2026, 12:57:59 PM8 trades$2353 min
7/8/2026, 12:50:11 PM2 trades$2250 min
7/25/2026, 7:23:25 PM21 trades$2194 min
2/17/2026, 6:38:05 PM19 trades$2139 min
6/12/2026, 7:02:46 AM4 trades$2101 min
7/25/2026, 5:07:19 PM4 trades$2001 min
2/17/2026, 5:30:35 PM11 trades$16012 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-13
02-23
03-12
06-08
06-26
07-14
07-28

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
35.3% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 16.02/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L69.5 / M15.8 / H14.7