@oswiu

#3,035,16121

0xebadef53e65c8c9ffafa5216b6ff40b9d85900ba

~42d· 23 markets · 903 tradesVol: $341,5282026-08-04 16:19:38
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

21
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

32% (6/19)0.8/20
1.06x (win $11,798 / loss $11,130)3.2/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.3065.7/15
Sortino 0.5855.9/10
$+0.0164 per $1 invested0.8/10
HHI 1656 (19 markets)4.2/10
5/17 profitable days (29%)0/10
Max DD 90% of peak ($5,969 / $6,637)0/10

Badges

1
Lottery Player
52% entries < $0.20

Categories

1
🏛️ POLITICS#1,632,420$-4,007Vol: $341,528

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-4,007
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$341,528
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
23
total markets
Trades
369B / 534S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~42d

Periods

#2
Today
$-279
Vol: $0
Week
$-118
Vol: $0
Month
$-1,365
Vol: $0
All Time
$-4,007
Vol: $341,528

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
32%
6W / 13L events
Realized PnL
$-3,963
Win Rate
32%
6W / 13L
Profit Factor
1.06x
Avg Win
$1,966
Avg Loss
$-856

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $11,013 (2.7792256950928387% of PnL)

Top Winners

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$8,398
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?$1,710
US forces enter Iran by April 30?$906
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?$409
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?$326
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?$50

Top Losers

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?$-3,675
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?$-3,364
US forces enter Iran by March 31?$-954
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?$-804
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?$-497
Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?$-338
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?$-313
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?$-291
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 24?$-245
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$-220

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.015
Sortino
0.030
HHI
556
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.024
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
17.5%
Top-5 markets
44.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
6.5
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
20/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
21:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
31.5m
between trades
Night Trading
36%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.00
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
13.7

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 76s — normal for humanCV 2.00 — diverse sizes (human-like)36% night trades — never sleeps20/24 hours — extended activity6 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal36% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 21:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
32.37
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)52%
Mid (20-55c)26.3%
High (>55c)21.7%

Sessions

#12
6/13/2026, 6:10:24 PM52 trades$17,3524 min
5/17/2026, 1:00:41 AM22 trades$14,3705 min
5/23/2026, 9:12:18 PM65 trades$11,38014 min
6/7/2026, 7:05:33 PM15 trades$10,4604 min
5/24/2026, 5:47:28 AM49 trades$9,5177 min
5/12/2026, 6:42:17 AM6 trades$9,1133 min
5/9/2026, 9:42:03 PM9 trades$8,4453 min
7/17/2026, 4:51:33 AM18 trades$8,4292 min
5/31/2026, 1:18:36 AM3 trades$8,0360 min
6/20/2026, 2:46:44 PM22 trades$8,0320 min
4/30/2026, 8:18:42 AM23 trades$5,8406 min
7/20/2026, 2:00:48 AM39 trades$4,7959 min
7/25/2026, 5:42:25 AM13 trades$4,4659 min
5/10/2026, 10:09:20 PM16 trades$4,3803 min
6/12/2026, 3:19:34 AM25 trades$4,1915 min
5/4/2026, 3:16:54 AM31 trades$3,5364 min
7/11/2026, 9:15:26 PM5 trades$3,1043 min
5/25/2026, 3:59:08 AM13 trades$3,0200 min
6/10/2026, 2:17:37 AM35 trades$2,6897 min
3/24/2026, 11:32:31 PM4 trades$2,4055 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-13
03-24
03-31
04-07
05-04
05-24
06-12
06-14
07-20

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 57 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
59.1% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 32.37/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L52 / M26.3 / H21.7