@outsmartchad

#2,940,5131

0x67fa85c4ea5db24793e6c544f43941a9e4431a08

~9d· 14 markets · 121 tradesVol: $13,4842026-08-05 15:51:03
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

1
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

7% (1/14)0/20
0.14x (win $150 / loss $1,094)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -15.8660/15
Sortino -12.2060/10
$-0.9124 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 2318 (14 markets)0.9/10
0/9 profitable days (0%)0/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($944 / $0)0/10

Badges

1
Lottery Player
48% entries < $0.20

Categories

5
💻 TECH#232,744$-15Vol: $4,124
₿ CRYPTO#1,573,250$-346Vol: $3,060
💰 FINANCE#624,320$-64Vol: $2,079
🏛️ POLITICS#1,580,678$-300Vol: $1,201
⚽ SPORTS#1,764,433$-283Vol: $968

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-1,106
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$13,484
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
14
total markets
Trades
27B / 94S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~9d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
7%
1W / 13L events
Realized PnL
$-1,106
Win Rate
7%
1W / 13L
Profit Factor
0.14x
Avg Win
$150
Avg Loss
$-99

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $150 (0.13560057494643776% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?$150

Top Losers

Over $25M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?$-425
Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?$-351
Erling Haaland: 1+ goals$-100
UFC Freedom 250: Aiemann Zahabi vs. Sean O'Malley (Bantamweight, Main Card)$-60
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs$-59
LoL: Gen.G vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winner$-30
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 9, 2026?$-27
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 3 Winner$-17
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 10, 2026?$-12
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winner$-10

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.783
Sortino
-0.766
HHI
1760
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.912
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
30.3%
Top-5 markets
78%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1.1
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
11/24
Normal
Peak Hour
16:00 UTC
Median Gap
10.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.6h
between trades
Night Trading
31%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.65
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
22
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.5

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 612s — normal for humanCV 0.65 — diverse sizes (human-like)31% night trades — never sleeps11/24 hours — normal schedule1 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal17% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 16:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
8.64
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)48.1%
Mid (20-55c)33.3%
High (>55c)18.5%

Sessions

#12
7/4/2026, 4:26:07 PM9 trades$7380 min
6/27/2026, 10:55:43 PM12 trades$6011 min
7/9/2026, 11:36:46 AM22 trades$5980 min
7/3/2026, 4:47:17 AM7 trades$5600 min
7/8/2026, 4:31:17 AM8 trades$5200 min
7/4/2026, 2:20:37 AM8 trades$4490 min
7/3/2026, 3:59:28 PM9 trades$3791 min
6/26/2026, 1:28:13 PM4 trades$3281 min
6/27/2026, 4:11:07 PM4 trades$2690 min
7/9/2026, 11:26:34 AM4 trades$2230 min
6/27/2026, 3:57:38 PM3 trades$2090 min
6/27/2026, 3:12:47 AM7 trades$1790 min
6/27/2026, 4:03:38 PM9 trades$1480 min
6/15/2026, 3:12:30 AM2 trades$1250 min
7/4/2026, 3:44:56 AM3 trades$1050 min
6/27/2026, 3:23:14 AM2 trades$950 min
3/21/2026, 3:57:03 PM2 trades$371 min
3/21/2026, 2:04:07 PM1 trades$300 min
7/9/2026, 9:07:59 AM1 trades$210 min
3/17/2026, 1:29:03 PM2 trades$200 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-17
03-21
06-15
06-26
06-27
07-03
07-04
07-08
07-09

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
77.7% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 8.64/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L48.1 / M33.3 / H18.5