@oxb2a309…79e0

#2,742,98851

0xb2a309a61ca9ed5db26e9fdda3a19ff4ae3a79e0

~60d· 129 markets · 1274 tradesVol: $48,1262026-08-04 15:05:36
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

51
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

46% (39/84)8.2/20
1.23x (win $436 / loss $354)5.4/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.48615/15
Sortino 2.56610/10
$+0.0221 per $1 invested1.1/10
HHI 1340 (84 markets)5.8/10
18/34 profitable days (53%)5.7/10
Max DD 172% of peak ($142 / $83)0/10

Badges

3
DCA Master
Avg 9.5 entries/market
Win Streak
5 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

8
💻 TECH#245,658$-60Vol: $26,754
🏛️ POLITICS#1,536,338$-122Vol: $14,545
📈 ECONOMICS#16,980$57Vol: $3,717
🎭 CULTURE#760,731$-48Vol: $1,432
💰 FINANCE#628,678$-84Vol: $1,126
CRYPTO#152,814$32Vol: $340
📢 MENTIONS#135,980$-14Vol: $207
🌤️ WEATHER#110,561$0Vol: $5

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-240
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$48,126
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
129
total markets
Trades
548B / 726S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~60d

Periods

#2
Today
$-9
Vol: $19
Week
$-5
Vol: $156
Month
$-14
Vol: $156
All Time
$-240
Vol: $48,126

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
46%
39W / 45L events
Realized PnL
$-240
Win Rate
46%
39W / 45L
Profit Factor
1.23x
Avg Win
$11
Avg Loss
$-13

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $211 (0.8782974119996672% of PnL)

Top Winners

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$112
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$59
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 31?$40
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?$32
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$29
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$26
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?$21
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?$19
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by December 31?$18
Will SpaceX have 14+ launches in June 2026?$17

Top Losers

Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?$-73
Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1520?$-35
Will Google Gemini score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?$-29
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?$-26
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$-23
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?$-21
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?$-21
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?$-19
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?$-17
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?$-15

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.077
Sortino
0.122
HHI
71
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.063
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
6.2%
Top-5 markets
14.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
17.7
Active
Markets / Day
1.8
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
20:00 UTC
Median Gap
4.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.9h
between trades
Night Trading
19%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.17
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
12.3

Bot Detection

#6
25
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 257s — normal for humanCV 2.17 — diverse sizes (human-like)19% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock18 trades/day — very active1.8 markets/day — normal43% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 20:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
9.51
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)12.8%
Mid (20-55c)18.2%
High (>55c)69%

Sessions

#12
7/21/2026, 8:49:37 PM25 trades$1,6851 min
7/28/2026, 2:46:29 PM8 trades$9190 min
5/30/2026, 8:25:48 PM6 trades$8770 min
5/31/2026, 3:20:19 PM9 trades$8373 min
5/31/2026, 9:51:20 PM4 trades$5180 min
5/25/2026, 7:03:33 AM102 trades$4708 min
7/18/2026, 12:50:00 AM7 trades$4220 min
7/30/2026, 4:08:30 PM18 trades$3762 min
7/29/2026, 8:17:36 PM33 trades$3633 min
5/31/2026, 8:04:33 PM12 trades$3245 min
7/21/2026, 9:06:30 PM16 trades$3024 min
7/21/2026, 8:19:18 PM7 trades$2350 min
7/22/2026, 9:25:06 AM8 trades$2010 min
7/21/2026, 8:57:07 PM8 trades$1962 min
7/10/2026, 1:45:32 PM32 trades$1910 min
7/15/2026, 1:04:17 AM5 trades$1710 min
7/17/2026, 7:48:45 PM14 trades$1676 min
7/26/2026, 10:24:45 PM6 trades$1350 min
7/21/2026, 1:53:03 AM16 trades$1320 min
7/27/2026, 3:09:31 AM16 trades$1275 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
05-25
06-01
06-10
06-16
07-03
07-10
07-17

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
57% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 9.51/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L12.8 / M18.2 / H69