@ozgun

#2,807,29566

0xbe43902a6b36e550e87d7d19fac8473c0192c5b1

~106d· 82 markets · 853 tradesVol: $101,053 @ozgunxyz2026-08-04 17:31:59
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

66
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

31% (21/67)0.7/20
2.32x (win $6,722 / loss $2,900)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 2.69015/15
Sortino 12.46610/10
$+0.3006 per $1 invested10/10
HHI 786 (67 markets)8.6/10
15/46 profitable days (33%)0.7/10
Max DD 40% of peak ($1,545 / $3,822)5.9/10

Badges

2
Lottery Player
45% entries < $0.20
🦉Night Owl
23/24 hours active

Categories

5
📈 ECONOMICS#24,344$28Vol: $38,326
CRYPTO#1,554,299$-259Vol: $26,373
SPORTS#1,652,955$-82Vol: $14,262
🏛️ POLITICS#1,342,187$-16Vol: $7,620
💰 FINANCE#635,873$-121Vol: $3,089

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-360
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$101,053
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
82
total markets
Trades
548B / 305S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~106d

Periods

#2
Today
$200
Vol: $385
Week
$252
Vol: $3,414
Month
$218
Vol: $4,779
All Time
$-360
Vol: $101,053

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
31%
21W / 46L events
Realized PnL
$-560
Win Rate
31%
21W / 46L
Profit Factor
2.32x
Avg Win
$320
Avg Loss
$-69

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $6,219 (11.105850626852876% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?$4,265
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1,225
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$728
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?$96
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2025-11-05?$61
Will Samsunspor vs. Çaykur Rizespor end in a draw?$41
Will Spurs win on 2024-11-23?$36
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-02-17?$36
Will AZ Alkmaar beat Galatasaray?$31
Will Fenerbahçe SK vs. Samsunspor end in a draw?$27

Top Losers

Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?$-586
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?$-520
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-303
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-04-11?$-200
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?$-156
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June?$-154
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2025?$-129
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?$-98
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,000 (LOW) in June?$-67
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-19?$-65

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.139
Sortino
0.578
HHI
250
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.548
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
11.7%
Top-5 markets
28.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1.4
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
23/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
8:00 UTC
Median Gap
15.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.1h
between trades
Night Trading
18%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.07
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
6.0

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 920s — normal for humanCV 2.07 — diverse sizes (human-like)17% night trades — unusual hours23/24 hours — around the clock1 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal59% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 8:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
6.87
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)44.7%
Mid (20-55c)17.9%
High (>55c)37.4%

Sessions

#12
7/2/2026, 1:09:11 PM16 trades$1,5082 min
7/29/2026, 11:23:03 AM12 trades$1,3148 min
7/30/2026, 5:55:48 AM9 trades$1,2801 min
4/11/2026, 11:03:19 AM12 trades$1,0464 min
5/26/2026, 7:54:27 PM24 trades$1,04011 min
6/24/2026, 2:11:01 PM6 trades$8070 min
7/30/2026, 5:49:00 AM3 trades$7880 min
5/7/2026, 3:13:42 PM9 trades$6751 min
7/28/2026, 5:31:49 AM4 trades$4760 min
6/25/2026, 3:09:05 PM2 trades$4700 min
5/16/2026, 6:08:59 AM9 trades$4200 min
7/24/2026, 7:49:54 PM3 trades$4020 min
6/18/2026, 8:04:04 AM11 trades$3801 min
6/18/2026, 4:12:17 AM15 trades$3561 min
7/5/2026, 8:16:41 PM2 trades$3500 min
5/29/2026, 3:37:24 PM2 trades$3400 min
6/14/2026, 9:42:58 PM12 trades$3254 min
4/11/2026, 11:45:05 AM2 trades$3040 min
5/27/2026, 8:05:42 PM8 trades$2952 min
4/14/2026, 6:57:32 PM2 trades$2800 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-16
11-01
11-26
12-17
03-14
05-23
07-05

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 201 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
35.8% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 6.87/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L44.7 / M17.9 / H37.4