@papuas

#3,072,74226

0x45720deb102f700682bfcb19b5872b5022ad83ff

~91d· 552 markets · 3080 tradesVol: $6,969,9002026-08-04 20:24:09
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

26
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

48% (266/550)9.2/20
0.95x (win $940,346 / loss $985,765)1.9/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.8220/15
Sortino -1.1680/10
$-0.0228 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 40 (550 markets)10/10
46/91 profitable days (51%)5.1/10
Max DD 669% of peak ($167,153 / $24,970)0/10

Badges

5
Contrarian
59% entries < $0.55
DCA Master
Avg 5.5 entries/market
Whale
$1,990,542 invested
High Roller
$7,540/day
Win Streak
7 wins in a row

Categories

1
⚽ SPORTS#4,971$10,961Vol: $473,161

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-65,460
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$6,969,900
Total Redeem
$11,166
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
552
total markets
Trades
1562B / 1518S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~91d

Periods

#2
Today
$-17,798
Vol: $44,578
Week
$-13,989
Vol: $217,161
Month
$-9,620
Vol: $467,006
All Time
$-65,460
Vol: $6,969,900

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
48%
266W / 283L events
Realized PnL
$-65,460
Win Rate
48%
266W / 283L
Profit Factor
0.95x
Avg Win
$3,535
Avg Loss
$-3,496

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $51,697 (0.7897490210887547% of PnL)

Top Winners

Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winner$17,614
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Yandex (BO3)$17,160
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Nemesis - Game 1 Winner$16,924
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs OG - Game 2 Winner$15,656
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winner$14,910
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Tundra Esports - Game 2 Winner$14,288
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Aurora - Game 4 Winner$14,166
Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs$13,837
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?$13,038
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs GamerLegion - Game 1 Winner$11,538

Top Losers

Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner$-13,003
Counter-Strike: OG vs ALGO Esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #19 Playoffs$-12,154
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winner$-11,952
Dota 2: OG vs Team Yandex (BO3)$-10,353
Will Getafe CF win on 2026-03-02?$-10,000
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Tundra Esports - Game 2 Winner$-9,974
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Tundra Esports - Game 3 Winner$-9,947
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winner$-9,930
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs GamerLegion - Game 2 Winner$-9,585
Dota 2: PlayTime vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 1 Winner$-9,348

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.043
Sortino
-0.059
HHI
31
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.023
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
1.3%
Top-5 markets
4.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
11.7
Active
Markets / Day
2.1
Active Hours
19/24
Extended
Peak Hour
18:00 UTC
Median Gap
40s
between trades
Avg Gap
54.6m
between trades
Night Trading
0%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.94
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
12.7

Bot Detection

#6
10
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 40s — normal for humanCV 0.94 — diverse sizes (human-like)0% night trades — normal pattern19/24 hours — extended activity12 trades/day — very active2.1 markets/day — normal7% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 18:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
5.5
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)1.9%
Mid (20-55c)56.9%
High (>55c)41.3%

Sessions

#12
8/1/2026, 8:11:11 PM85 trades$49,5562 min
2/28/2026, 4:13:55 PM3 trades$37,8730 min
12/18/2025, 8:22:31 PM1 trades$32,4080 min
3/1/2026, 5:24:35 PM5 trades$30,7494 min
12/5/2025, 9:13:23 AM10 trades$29,8905 min
3/11/2026, 4:47:07 PM6 trades$29,5383 min
8/1/2026, 9:56:47 PM5 trades$29,4000 min
3/1/2026, 2:04:31 PM2 trades$28,0622 min
3/1/2026, 12:52:31 PM3 trades$27,5310 min
12/6/2025, 9:23:05 AM1 trades$25,5970 min
7/11/2026, 12:44:41 PM50 trades$22,8094 min
3/13/2026, 11:22:05 AM2 trades$20,9740 min
12/20/2025, 4:07:29 PM5 trades$20,4012 min
12/20/2025, 5:02:07 PM1 trades$19,9220 min
2/26/2026, 11:11:44 PM3 trades$19,9042 min
12/5/2025, 8:24:25 PM1 trades$19,7760 min
12/17/2025, 4:19:36 PM5 trades$19,5144 min
3/15/2026, 7:35:43 PM4 trades$19,0451 min
12/12/2025, 3:54:22 PM6 trades$18,9828 min
4/1/2026, 6:20:47 PM107 trades$18,6946 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-14
12-17
02-11
03-11
03-27
07-07
08-04

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 109 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
49.3% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 5.5/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L1.9 / M56.9 / H41.3