patou78

@patou78

#3,065,19513

0x74e0c48ac82a239958dc4c0922c05b631a28af4b

~236d· 2357 markets · 19100 tradesVol: $1,979,069 @patoche66662026-08-05 16:38:52
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

13
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

30% (664/2247)0/20
0.86x (win $63,386 / loss $74,028)0.7/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.5850/15
Sortino -2.2830/10
$-0.0313 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 50 (2247 markets)10/10
87/227 profitable days (38%)2.1/10
Max DD 430% of peak ($15,322 / $3,561)0/10

Badges

4
Contrarian
59% entries < $0.55
Whale
$340,253 invested
Win Streak
5 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

9
🏛️ POLITICS#1,602,574$-561Vol: $680,999
SPORTS#1,854,929$-2,016Vol: $389,167
🎭 CULTURE#802,560$-352Vol: $307,958
CRYPTO#1,664,952$-3,846Vol: $272,309
💰 FINANCE#657,961$-4,730Vol: $138,074
📈 ECONOMICS#679,729$-1,131Vol: $93,516
💻 TECH#256,775$-587Vol: $25,219
📢 MENTIONS#173,128$-464Vol: $23,855
🌤️ WEATHER#295,295$-458Vol: $23,256

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-14,584
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,979,069
Total Redeem
$4,060
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
2357
total markets
Trades
12805B / 6295S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~236d

Periods

#2
Today
$-0
Vol: $80
Week
$-15
Vol: $355
Month
$-16
Vol: $435
All Time
$-14,584
Vol: $1,979,069

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
30%
664W / 1583L events
Realized PnL
$-14,584
Win Rate
30%
664W / 1583L
Profit Factor
0.86x
Avg Win
$95
Avg Loss
$-49

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $7,366 (0.5050728423962906% of PnL)

Top Winners

Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)$2,698
Will Trump sue the BBC?$2,696
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-02-17?$1,972
Will West Ham United FC vs. Leeds United FC end in a draw?$1,825
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$1,665
Will the Monad public sale commitments be less than $400M?$1,634
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$1,307
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?$1,199
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?$952
Will Elche CF vs. CA Osasuna end in a draw?$890

Top Losers

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-2,454
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$-1,071
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?$-908
Will MegaETH launch a token by May 31, 2026?$-749
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?$-733
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?$-627
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?$-616
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?$-605
Chelsea FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 1.5$-600
Spread: Manchester City FC (-2.5)$-600

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.083
Sortino
-0.117
HHI
36
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.029
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
2.1%
Top-5 markets
8.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
32.2
Active
Markets / Day
4.0
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
5:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
19.8m
between trades
Night Trading
26%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.42
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
11 min
Avg Trades / Session
22.6

Bot Detection

#6
45
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 76s — normal for humanCV 2.42 — diverse sizes (human-like)26% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock32 trades/day — high frequency4.0 markets/day — normal65% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 5:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
8.49
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)18.9%
Mid (20-55c)39.9%
High (>55c)41.2%

Sessions

#12
4/3/2026, 2:06:01 PM16 trades$9,2243 min
4/22/2026, 5:20:10 AM6 trades$7,4872 min
4/9/2026, 6:56:21 AM10 trades$5,0776 min
4/25/2026, 5:08:44 AM30 trades$5,06523 min
4/13/2026, 3:36:43 PM14 trades$4,3234 min
4/17/2026, 3:35:14 AM12 trades$4,2961 min
4/21/2026, 6:35:40 AM7 trades$4,2700 min
3/26/2026, 4:39:25 AM81 trades$3,48030 min
4/9/2026, 10:46:15 AM6 trades$3,2534 min
5/7/2026, 8:06:00 AM35 trades$2,7598 min
3/4/2026, 4:28:25 AM67 trades$2,72859 min
3/1/2026, 5:07:09 AM128 trades$2,69961 min
11/21/2025, 1:56:31 PM25 trades$2,62717 min
5/4/2026, 12:47:16 PM15 trades$2,6131 min
4/23/2026, 2:44:44 PM18 trades$2,5700 min
3/7/2026, 7:13:51 AM53 trades$2,51430 min
4/22/2026, 4:12:50 AM2 trades$2,5000 min
1/20/2026, 6:38:38 AM30 trades$2,27718 min
5/10/2026, 11:43:38 AM25 trades$2,18511 min
4/12/2026, 3:07:47 PM23 trades$2,1007 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-20
12-11
01-25
03-03
04-09
05-22
07-16

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 160 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
33% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 8.49/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L18.9 / M39.9 / H41.2