@paulco
#424,146470x2ccf410b2ade702c72a5e369542ac62d0f99809c
~12d· 24 markets · 56 tradesVol: $13,0502026-08-05 02:23:36
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
47
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
39% (7/18)4.4/20
2.69x (win $785 / loss $292)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.0000/15
Sortino 0.0000/10
$+0.3149 per $1 invested10/10
HHI 1209 (18 markets)6.5/10
2/6 profitable days (33%)0.8/10
Max DD 18% of peak ($105 / $598)10/10
Badges
3Profitable
PnL $+19
Lottery Player
48% entries < $0.20
Cool Head
Max DD 18%
Categories
6🏛️ POLITICS#1,593,513$-449Vol: $6,263
🌤️ WEATHER#279,006$-61Vol: $3,022
💰 FINANCE#8,338$380Vol: $1,756
🎭 CULTURE#22,771$85Vol: $1,472
📈 ECONOMICS#643,533$-40Vol: $364
₿ CRYPTO#92,382$103Vol: $173
Overview
#1Net PnL
$19
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$13,050
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
24
total markets
Trades
42B / 14S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~12d
Periods
#2Today
$1
Vol: $0
Week
$48
Vol: $0
Month
$56
Vol: $0
All Time
$19
Vol: $13,050
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
39%
7W / 11L events
Realized PnL
$19
Win Rate
39%
7W / 11L
Profit Factor
2.69x
Avg Win
$112
Avg Loss
$-27
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $773 (41.221333333333334% of PnL)
Top Winners
US bank failure by March 31?$424
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?$206
Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by June 30?$143
Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by December 31?$7
Israel strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?$4
Will Bitcoin reach $125,000 in February?$0
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of January?$0
Top Losers
Ilhan Omar town hall attack staged?$-62
First to 5k: Gold or ETH?$-44
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?$-40
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?$-40
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by March 31, 2026?$-30
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?$-20
Ilhan Omar federally charged by March 31?$-20
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by March 31, 2026?$-15
Will Ilhan Omar be charged with fraud?$-10
Will Ilhan Omar's husband be charged with fraud?$-10
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.386
Sortino
1.908
HHI
410
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.560
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
15.4%
Top-5 markets
37.2%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
0.3
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
12/24
Extended
Peak Hour
23:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.9h
between trades
Night Trading
16%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.99
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
24
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.3
Bot Detection
#65
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 136s — normal for humanCV 0.99 — diverse sizes (human-like)16% night trades — unusual hours12/24 hours — normal schedule0 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal7% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 23:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
1.78
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)47.6%
Mid (20-55c)35.7%
High (>55c)16.7%
Sessions
#126/1/2026, 2:02:38 PM8 trades$6690 min
6/22/2026, 11:29:59 PM5 trades$2500 min
3/7/2026, 12:18:53 PM6 trades$2257 min
1/1/2026, 11:17:15 PM4 trades$1767 min
2/4/2026, 2:23:10 AM1 trades$1750 min
1/31/2026, 7:39:26 PM3 trades$1462 min
1/1/2026, 11:06:17 PM3 trades$1434 min
1/1/2026, 11:30:33 PM5 trades$907 min
1/1/2026, 11:54:11 PM3 trades$735 min
1/31/2026, 3:10:56 AM1 trades$620 min
1/2/2026, 11:33:11 PM2 trades$582 min
1/31/2026, 2:38:08 AM2 trades$402 min
1/31/2026, 11:48:32 PM1 trades$400 min
2/1/2026, 7:03:28 PM1 trades$400 min
1/16/2026, 2:56:12 AM2 trades$292 min
2/1/2026, 9:04:02 AM1 trades$270 min
1/14/2026, 5:36:54 AM1 trades$150 min
2/1/2026, 12:09:58 PM1 trades$150 min
1/11/2026, 5:43:10 PM1 trades$140 min
1/1/2026, 11:48:37 PM1 trades$100 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-01
01-02
01-11
01-16
01-31
03-07
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 35 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
25% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.78/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L47.6 / M35.7 / H16.7