@paulenskate

#129,85632

0xa0a512abaed61989805d549fdd0838c184d556ef

~23d· 32 markets · 279 tradesVol: $50,3012026-08-05 10:38:52
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

32
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

68% (19/28)18.9/20
0.45x (win $749 / loss $1,681)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -6.4720/15
Sortino -6.3190/10
$-0.1029 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1559 (28 markets)4.7/10
9/14 profitable days (64%)8.6/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($1,163 / $0)0/10

Badges

5
Sniper
Win rate 68%
Profitable
PnL $+385
DCA Master
Avg 10.4 entries/market
Consistent
9/14 profitable days
Win Streak
6 wins in a row

Categories

7
🏛️ POLITICS#1,430,803$-34Vol: $44,378
💰 FINANCE#8,536$365Vol: $4,012
🎭 CULTURE#30,597$50Vol: $522
🌤️ WEATHER#8,993$66Vol: $509
⚽ SPORTS#1,544,535$-35Vol: $335
₿ CRYPTO#1,408,970$-58Vol: $334
💻 TECH#10,359$34Vol: $210

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$387
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$50,301
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
32
total markets
Trades
105B / 174S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~23d

Periods

#2
Month
$1
Vol: $0
All Time
$387
Vol: $50,301

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
68%
19W / 9L events
Realized PnL
$385
Win Rate
68%
19W / 9L
Profit Factor
0.45x
Avg Win
$39
Avg Loss
$-187

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $431 (1.1190976819043168% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Trump talk to Mark Rutte in March?$223
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$115
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$93
Will Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$82
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$65
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?$47
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?$36
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?$31
Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$15
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?$13

Top Losers

US forces enter Iran by December 31?$-833
US forces enter Iran by April 30?$-423
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?$-225
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET$-88
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?$-71
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET$-20
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?$-18
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET$-2
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 7th?$-1

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.327
Sortino
-0.310
HHI
4207
Concentrated
EV per $1
$-0.078
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
61.4%
Top-5 markets
94.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
2.4
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.3
Active Hours
17/24
Extended
Peak Hour
10:00 UTC
Median Gap
4.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.3h
between trades
Night Trading
10%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.98
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.6

Bot Detection

#6
0
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 249s — normal for humanCV 1.98 — diverse sizes (human-like)10% night trades — normal pattern17/24 hours — normal schedule2 trades/day — normal0.3 markets/day — normal34% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 10:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
10.36
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)18.1%
Mid (20-55c)16.2%
High (>55c)65.7%

Sessions

#12
6/4/2026, 10:14:43 AM43 trades$3,0952 min
4/3/2026, 4:55:43 PM29 trades$1,7397 min
6/23/2026, 2:54:13 PM1 trades$1,4090 min
6/4/2026, 1:32:36 PM9 trades$1,0223 min
4/3/2026, 12:53:43 PM2 trades$9090 min
4/3/2026, 10:29:33 AM11 trades$9075 min
5/22/2026, 8:44:24 AM2 trades$6880 min
4/3/2026, 12:21:15 AM11 trades$6320 min
5/13/2026, 2:09:13 PM7 trades$6073 min
4/4/2026, 1:31:51 PM2 trades$6050 min
5/22/2026, 5:29:37 AM4 trades$5140 min
4/1/2026, 1:03:53 PM7 trades$4071 min
7/7/2026, 2:32:56 PM2 trades$3901 min
4/3/2026, 1:02:27 PM2 trades$3850 min
4/7/2026, 1:49:45 PM2 trades$3650 min
4/13/2026, 1:22:49 PM7 trades$3651 min
4/10/2026, 12:07:27 AM7 trades$3455 min
5/15/2026, 9:06:11 PM5 trades$3420 min
7/16/2026, 9:12:25 PM3 trades$2695 min
4/3/2026, 3:27:41 PM4 trades$2550 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-31
04-03
04-10
04-15
05-14
06-04
06-22

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
62.4% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 10.36/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L18.1 / M16.2 / H65.7