peggysage

@peggysage

#23,40968

0xa7cfafa0db244f760436fcf83c8b1eb98904ba10

~57d· 242 markets · 807 tradesVol: $2,559,215 @MichaelaShepard2026-08-05 04:03:32
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

68
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

90% (206/228)20/20
1.18x (win $35,941 / loss $30,494)4.7/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.75614.2/15
Sortino 0.9449.4/10
$+0.0052 per $1 invested0.3/10
HHI 560 (228 markets)9.7/10
36/44 profitable days (82%)10/10
Max DD 110% of peak ($25,238 / $22,843)0/10

Badges

7
Sniper
Win rate 90%
Profitable
PnL $+5,518
Whale
$1,043,479 invested
Consistent
36/44 profitable days
High Roller
$3,513/day
Win Streak
32 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

9
🏛️ POLITICS#11,346$2,076Vol: $1,651,661
CRYPTO#3,828$12,361Vol: $442,507
🎭 CULTURE#816,843$-11,728Vol: $332,724
SPORTS#1,536,565$-33Vol: $97,204
💰 FINANCE#1,804$2,808Vol: $28,184
📈 ECONOMICS#5,639$376Vol: $6,100
📢 MENTIONS#171,973$-346Vol: $713
💻 TECH#24,644$5Vol: $100
🌤️ WEATHER#82,624$0Vol: $24

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$5,518
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$2,559,215
Total Redeem
$3,478
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
242
total markets
Trades
482B / 325S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~57d

Periods

#2
Today
$0
Vol: $0
Week
$0
Vol: $0
Month
$0
Vol: $0
All Time
$5,518
Vol: $2,559,215

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
90%
206W / 22L events
Realized PnL
$5,518
Win Rate
90%
206W / 22L
Profit Factor
1.18x
Avg Win
$174
Avg Loss
$-1,452

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $14,528 (2.632595738974592% of PnL)

Top Winners

Norway vs. England: Team to Advance$5,633
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?$4,578
Kinetiq FDV above $200M one day after launch?$4,317
Kinetiq FDV above $150M one day after launch?$3,353
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$2,523
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance$2,209
Will Elizabeth Holmes launch a coin by December 31?$2,137
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?$795
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2025?$713
Over $1.8B committed to the MegaETH public sale?$711

Top Losers

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$-12,428
Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by January 31?$-11,000
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$-3,752
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 25, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET$-632
Will 'Avatar: Fire and Ash' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?$-553
Will Pope Leo XIV be on the Time 2025 person of the year shortlist?$-418
Will Donald Trump say "Maduro" at least ten times during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?$-355
Will Donald Trump be on the Time 2025 person of the year shortlist?$-297
Over $1B committed to the MegaETH public sale?$-161
Will Zohran Mamdani be on the Time 2025 person of the year shortlist?$-160

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.039
Sortino
0.025
HHI
481
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.005
Kelly %
45.4%
Half-Kelly
22.7%
Top-1 market
12.9%
Top-5 markets
41%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
2.7
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.8
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
19:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.6m
between trades
Avg Gap
45.6m
between trades
Night Trading
17%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.11
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
6 min
Avg Trades / Session
6.8

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 96s — normal for humanCV 3.11 — diverse sizes (human-like)16% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock3 trades/day — normal0.8 markets/day — normal43% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 19:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.03
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)9.8%
Mid (20-55c)3.1%
High (>55c)87.1%

Sessions

#12
1/3/2026, 8:50:21 PM1 trades$134,8240 min
11/13/2025, 1:24:06 AM2 trades$102,8791 min
1/5/2026, 2:26:09 PM4 trades$79,1233 min
11/30/2025, 4:30:56 PM9 trades$70,20615 min
12/29/2025, 3:01:31 PM4 trades$69,4195 min
11/28/2025, 7:38:59 PM18 trades$60,01829 min
12/31/2025, 2:14:41 PM15 trades$58,55020 min
12/20/2025, 2:55:08 AM1 trades$55,6700 min
12/20/2025, 11:34:05 AM1 trades$55,5670 min
11/28/2025, 8:25:49 PM4 trades$51,6953 min
1/3/2026, 4:25:19 PM3 trades$50,1813 min
11/13/2025, 3:39:26 PM6 trades$41,82714 min
11/28/2025, 8:39:45 PM5 trades$40,9626 min
12/19/2025, 7:28:13 PM5 trades$38,9445 min
12/29/2025, 7:50:25 PM6 trades$31,7863 min
12/19/2025, 7:55:17 PM28 trades$31,2297 min
11/13/2025, 3:10:26 PM4 trades$29,9996 min
1/3/2026, 4:52:41 PM1 trades$24,9500 min
1/4/2026, 1:07:57 PM7 trades$24,50712 min
11/26/2025, 8:02:33 AM11 trades$23,11612 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
09-27
10-28
11-16
12-19
01-04
01-29
07-11

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 159 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
40.3% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.03/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L9.8 / M3.1 / H87.1