
@pepe-15m
#2,835,805340x9a2302ea281950bafee21ec5c30bfce4269c0e0c
~32d· 2952 markets · 4550 tradesVol: $36,8552026-08-04 20:06:19
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
34
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
74% (2179/2952)20/20
0.93x (win $4,343 / loss $4,688)1.6/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.9500/15
Sortino -2.5840/10
$-0.0166 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 56 (2952 markets)10/10
13/32 profitable days (41%)2.7/10
Max DD 6678% of peak ($368 / $6)0/10
Badges
4Sniper
Win rate 74%
Diamond Hands
4% sells
Win Streak
31 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
Categories
5₿ CRYPTO#1,537,303$-205Vol: $26,353
⚽ SPORTS#1,712,276$-139Vol: $6,332
💰 FINANCE#20,780$78Vol: $2,405
🌤️ WEATHER#286,474$-114Vol: $1,376
🏛️ POLITICS#1,291,106$-11Vol: $86
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-453
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$36,855
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
2952
total markets
Trades
4362B / 188S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~32d
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
74%
2179W / 773L events
Realized PnL
$-453
Win Rate
74%
2179W / 773L
Profit Factor
0.93x
Avg Win
$2
Avg Loss
$-6
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $650 (1.4351712873035494% of PnL)
Top Winners
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 14, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET$257
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $63-$70 in June?$226
Will France win on 2026-06-26?$167
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?$166
Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?$148
Morocco vs. Haiti: Both Teams to Score$91
Will Egypt vs. IR Iran end in a draw?$54
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 7, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET$38
Switzerland vs. Canada: Both Teams to Score$33
Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: Both Teams to Score$31
Top Losers
New Zealand vs. Belgium: O/U 5.5$-300
SpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of First Month?$-298
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 14, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET$-116
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?$-101
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 14, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET$-83
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 14, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET$-81
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?$-72
Lexus Eastbourne Open: Zizou Bergs vs Ugo Humbert$-60
UFC Fight Night: Tahir Abdullayev vs. Jefferson Nascimento (Welterweight, Prelims)$-60
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 7, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET$-58
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.101
Sortino
-0.132
HHI
41
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.017
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
3.9%
Top-5 markets
11.6%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
20.4
Active
Markets / Day
13.2
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
8:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
10.2m
between trades
Night Trading
23%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.61
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
14 min
Avg Trades / Session
23.6
Bot Detection
#645
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
MEDIUM
Median gap 70s — normal for humanCV 2.61 — diverse sizes (human-like)23% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock20 trades/day — high frequency13 markets/day — mass coverage60% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 8:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
1.54
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)3.3%
Mid (20-55c)16.9%
High (>55c)79.7%
Sessions
#126/27/2026, 4:56:26 AM17 trades$1,3518 min
6/24/2026, 5:24:20 PM1 trades$4770 min
6/23/2026, 8:02:47 AM38 trades$4466 min
6/27/2026, 2:07:25 PM4 trades$4300 min
12/14/2025, 8:27:49 AM192 trades$3756 min
6/21/2026, 9:04:58 AM40 trades$36717 min
12/7/2025, 5:37:11 PM45 trades$30618 min
6/30/2026, 12:49:08 AM4 trades$2550 min
6/24/2026, 11:22:07 AM7 trades$2544 min
6/27/2026, 4:48:10 AM4 trades$2420 min
2/24/2026, 3:07:08 AM75 trades$21972 min
6/24/2026, 10:17:08 AM20 trades$2081 min
7/17/2026, 10:59:12 AM2 trades$2000 min
6/29/2026, 5:49:38 PM4 trades$1930 min
6/27/2026, 1:59:11 AM2 trades$1820 min
12/7/2025, 6:34:07 PM25 trades$1768 min
6/26/2026, 11:46:16 PM2 trades$1720 min
2/23/2026, 10:57:10 AM49 trades$15845 min
6/26/2026, 6:43:49 PM2 trades$1530 min
6/26/2026, 6:56:16 PM2 trades$1510 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-07
12-18
12-23
02-22
02-27
06-25
06-30
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 118 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
4.1% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.54/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L3.3 / M16.9 / H79.7