@peso

#5,32879

0x4d62b95e963b354d75ba8f6a020cca1348cda1f0

~117d· 71 markets · 803 tradesVol: $833,6982026-08-04 10:01:13
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

79
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

41% (27/66)5.5/20
2.55x (win $44,948 / loss $17,596)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 5.45615/15
Sortino 22.65710/10
$+0.4760 per $1 invested10/10
HHI 437 (66 markets)10/10
18/42 profitable days (43%)3.2/10
Max DD 13% of peak ($3,840 / $29,177)10/10

Badges

5
Profitable
PnL $+31,600
Lottery Player
79% entries < $0.20
Whale
$57,463 invested
Cool Head
Max DD 13%
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

2
🎭 CULTURE#243$32,073Vol: $786,170
SPORTS#1,791,910$-473Vol: $47,528

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$31,600
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$833,698
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
71
total markets
Trades
568B / 235S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~117d

Periods

#2
Month
$-18
Vol: $2,923
All Time
$31,600
Vol: $833,698

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
41%
27W / 39L events
Realized PnL
$31,600
Win Rate
41%
27W / 39L
Profit Factor
2.55x
Avg Win
$1,665
Avg Loss
$-451

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $19,184 (0.6070893868061112% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will "Flight Risk" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $10m and $13m?$9,489
Will 'Sonic 3' gross between $56-64m on 3-day opening weekend?$5,103
Will "Dog Man" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $35-40m?$4,592
Will 'Snow White' gross between 39-44m on opening weekend?$3,376
Will 'Sonic 3' gross between $64-72m on 3-day opening weekend?$3,358
Will 'Minecraft' gross more than 70m on opening weekend?$3,353
Will "Paddington in Peru" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $15m?$2,556
Will 'Thunderbolts' gross between $72m and 77m on opening weekend?$2,416
Will 'Lilo & Stich' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?$2,038
Will 'Thunderbolts' gross more than $82m on opening weekend?$1,399

Top Losers

Will "Captain America" Opening Weekend Box Office be more than $91m?$-4,194
Will "Dog Man" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $30-35m?$-1,682
Will "Captain America" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $73-82m?$-1,300
Will 'Mission: Impossible - The Final Reckoning' gross less than $60m opening weekend?$-1,104
Will 'The Fantastic Four: First Steps' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?$-1,057
Will 'Den of Thieves 2: Pantera' opening weekend gross $22m or more?$-808
Will 'Minecraft' gross between 64-70m on opening weekend?$-763
Will 'Den of Thieves 2: Pantera' opening weekend gross $19-22m?$-649
Will 'Sonic 3' gross less than $56m on 3-day opening weekend?$-637
Will 'Kraven the Hunter' gross between $19-22m on 3-day opening weekend?$-541

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.282
Sortino
1.207
HHI
285
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.559
Kelly %
14.9%
Half-Kelly
7.4%
Top-1 market
8.5%
Top-5 markets
29.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1.3
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
15:00 UTC
Median Gap
5.6m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.3h
between trades
Night Trading
24%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.75
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.8

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 338s — normal for humanCV 2.75 — diverse sizes (human-like)24% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock1 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal35% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 15:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
10.42
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)79%
Mid (20-55c)19.4%
High (>55c)1.6%

Sessions

#12
1/27/2025, 7:09:33 PM1 trades$7,2080 min
2/2/2025, 7:01:48 PM1 trades$5,0930 min
8/1/2026, 1:08:27 AM5 trades$4,9910 min
4/2/2025, 10:34:17 AM2 trades$4,3741 min
5/21/2025, 1:51:53 AM7 trades$4,29613 min
7/31/2026, 3:04:09 AM6 trades$3,8670 min
12/21/2024, 8:45:18 PM2 trades$3,7113 min
1/27/2025, 7:03:59 PM1 trades$3,3150 min
2/17/2025, 3:02:49 AM3 trades$3,0624 min
12/22/2024, 11:44:44 AM1 trades$2,9570 min
1/30/2025, 1:53:03 PM3 trades$2,8033 min
12/22/2024, 10:14:16 AM1 trades$2,6800 min
2/15/2025, 6:25:45 PM1 trades$2,6040 min
2/1/2025, 6:00:02 AM1 trades$2,5840 min
6/17/2026, 3:28:59 PM2 trades$2,4510 min
5/2/2025, 7:11:35 PM1 trades$2,3340 min
6/27/2026, 1:40:37 PM21 trades$1,9850 min
5/22/2025, 3:38:11 AM1 trades$1,9800 min
4/5/2025, 6:47:00 AM1 trades$1,9440 min
2/2/2025, 4:07:28 PM4 trades$1,8916 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-13
01-27
02-17
04-02
05-03
05-23

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 41 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
29.3% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 10.42/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L79 / M19.4 / H1.6