@peterljf

#3,063,48335

0xce1001c32c78b62348ba0ee9d21238f1fe0b51d4

~276d· 372 markets · 1512 tradesVol: $598,4852026-08-04 22:11:02
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

35
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

65% (230/353)17.6/20
0.69x (win $25,838 / loss $37,482)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -2.5400/15
Sortino -3.0120/10
$-0.0600 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 144 (353 markets)10/10
100/173 profitable days (58%)7/10
Max DD 1190% of peak ($15,290 / $1,285)0/10

Badges

4
Sniper
Win rate 65%
Whale
$193,943 invested
Win Streak
11 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

8
₿ CRYPTO#1,674,493$-14,184Vol: $561,950
🏛️ POLITICS#1,513,394$-93Vol: $20,793
💰 FINANCE#13,284$177Vol: $10,003
🎭 CULTURE#28,142$59Vol: $2,354
📈 ECONOMICS#12,377$102Vol: $2,179
🌤️ WEATHER#281,575$-75Vol: $787
⚽ SPORTS#191,262$34Vol: $313
💻 TECH#27,584$4Vol: $55

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-13,975
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$598,485
Total Redeem
$302
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
372
total markets
Trades
845B / 667S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~276d

Periods

#2
Today
$29
Vol: $102
Week
$51
Vol: $102
Month
$85
Vol: $938
All Time
$-13,975
Vol: $598,485

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
65%
230W / 122L events
Realized PnL
$-13,975
Win Rate
65%
230W / 122L
Profit Factor
0.69x
Avg Win
$112
Avg Loss
$-371

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $5,281 (0.3779167909985839% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Bitcoin reach $125K in August?$2,436
Will Bitcoin dip to $106,000 October 27-November 2?$1,498
Will Bitcoin dip to $106,000 October 20-26?$1,348
Will Bitcoin reach $125,000 by December 31, 2025?$1,258
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in November?$1,248
Will Bitcoin reach $115k in May?$1,063
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June?$921
Will Ethereum reach $4000 in July?$921
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?$843
Will Bitcoin dip to $108,000 September 22-28?$727

Top Losers

Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 by January 31, 2025?$-2,300
Will Ethereum hit $3,800 by Friday?$-2,168
Will Bitcoin hit $100k in November?$-1,683
Will Bitcoin dip to $95,000 by February 28, 2025?$-1,318
Will Ethereum hit $3,400 in December?$-1,251
Will Bitcoin reach $114,000 October 20-26?$-1,224
Will Bitcoin reach $120K in August?$-1,083
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by January 31, 2025?$-1,053
Will Bitcoin reach $114K in September?$-1,053
Will Bitcoin dip to $118,000 October 6-12?$-1,042

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.133
Sortino
-0.133
HHI
124
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.060
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
3.4%
Top-5 markets
15.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
2.0
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.5
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
9:00 UTC
Median Gap
8.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.0h
between trades
Night Trading
25%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.01
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.5

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 478s — normal for humanCV 2.01 — diverse sizes (human-like)25% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock2 trades/day — normal0.5 markets/day — normal23% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 9:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.35
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)6.5%
Mid (20-55c)27.6%
High (>55c)65.9%

Sessions

#12
8/18/2025, 5:36:24 AM2 trades$8,0612 min
1/13/2025, 10:36:07 AM4 trades$6,1219 min
10/4/2025, 9:49:01 PM1 trades$5,9580 min
8/2/2025, 8:54:54 AM1 trades$4,0000 min
8/22/2025, 2:22:12 PM2 trades$3,6004 min
10/21/2025, 3:20:05 AM3 trades$3,4794 min
9/5/2025, 2:20:18 PM1 trades$3,2280 min
12/5/2024, 3:26:46 PM2 trades$3,0613 min
2/28/2025, 2:49:42 AM2 trades$3,0342 min
12/19/2024, 9:56:34 PM5 trades$3,00611 min
9/5/2025, 12:39:40 PM1 trades$3,0000 min
12/3/2024, 5:22:10 AM2 trades$2,9815 min
1/18/2025, 2:12:45 AM2 trades$2,9104 min
12/21/2024, 1:58:58 AM2 trades$2,9053 min
9/10/2025, 1:44:50 PM1 trades$2,7720 min
10/11/2025, 1:11:34 AM1 trades$2,7450 min
10/30/2025, 4:41:43 AM2 trades$2,7250 min
8/11/2025, 2:02:22 AM1 trades$2,7020 min
11/26/2024, 11:32:31 AM2 trades$2,6353 min
9/16/2025, 11:06:34 AM1 trades$2,5720 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-21
11-20
02-28
08-04
10-28
06-01
07-22

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 352 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
44.1% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.35/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L6.5 / M27.6 / H65.9