@petersonmelissa

#2,243,54220

0x920e4074e756a64a80532fa2a4362fc8d4923a49

~23d· 31 markets · 52 tradesVol: $25,5042026-08-06 07:33:03
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

20
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

50% (13/26)10/20
0.44x (win $14 / loss $32)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -6.9340/15
Sortino -7.4710/10
$-0.0009 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 935 (26 markets)7.8/10
8/20 profitable days (40%)2.5/10
Max DD 2592% of peak ($25 / $1)0/10

Categories

4
🏛️ POLITICS#1,318,624$-13Vol: $23,923
⚽ SPORTS#1,166,309$-4Vol: $1,285
₿ CRYPTO#1,183,046$-12Vol: $174
🎭 CULTURE#599,458$-3Vol: $118

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-34
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$25,504
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
31
total markets
Trades
35B / 17S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~23d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
50%
13W / 13L events
Realized PnL
$-34
Win Rate
50%
13W / 13L
Profit Factor
0.44x
Avg Win
$1
Avg Loss
$-3

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $8 (0.24439858490566038% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$5
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-01-02?$2
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?$1
Will Italy win on 2026-03-26?$1
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-25?$1
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $78000 on Apr 11?$1
Will Real Madrid CF vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica end in a draw?$1
Will Santos FC win on 2026-02-12?$1
PAOK vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 3.5$1
Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw?$0

Top Losers

Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?$-5
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1500 and $1600 on May 9?$-5
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 19?$-5
Will FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?$-4
Will Armenia finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?$-4
Will Luke Littler win the PDC World Darts Championship?$-3
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs NIP (BO3)$-2
Ethereum Up or Down - September 5, 5PM ET$-2
Will CA Paranaense win on 2026-02-12?$-2
Will Kai Havertz be the top goalscorer in the EPL?$-1

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.354
Sortino
-0.551
HHI
0
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.212
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
0.1%
Top-5 markets
0.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.1
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
17/24
Extended
Peak Hour
21:00 UTC
Median Gap
23.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.2h
between trades
Night Trading
21%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.87
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
30
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.7

Bot Detection

#6
5
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 1387s — normal for humanCV 1.87 — diverse sizes (human-like)21% night trades — unusual hours17/24 hours — normal schedule0 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal27% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 21:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.69
Single entry

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)11.4%
Mid (20-55c)14.3%
High (>55c)74.3%

Sessions

#12
7/3/2026, 5:33:35 PM2 trades$2,7390 min
7/3/2026, 6:10:13 PM2 trades$2,7390 min
7/3/2026, 6:33:20 PM2 trades$2,7360 min
7/3/2026, 7:16:26 PM2 trades$2,7360 min
7/3/2026, 3:51:47 PM2 trades$2,7150 min
7/3/2026, 5:06:14 PM2 trades$2,7150 min
1/25/2026, 8:27:14 AM1 trades$2,4180 min
1/25/2026, 10:19:24 AM1 trades$2,4150 min
3/15/2026, 5:15:17 PM1 trades$1,3210 min
3/15/2026, 6:06:21 PM1 trades$1,3190 min
4/8/2026, 9:34:37 PM5 trades$204 min
5/29/2026, 9:41:26 AM4 trades$91 min
4/24/2026, 4:09:52 AM2 trades$90 min
6/10/2026, 3:23:10 PM4 trades$71 min
2/19/2026, 6:34:26 AM2 trades$71 min
2/25/2026, 2:50:54 AM2 trades$51 min
5/14/2026, 2:53:06 PM2 trades$50 min
5/5/2025, 8:29:17 PM1 trades$50 min
1/10/2026, 11:44:14 PM1 trades$40 min
2/11/2026, 9:58:29 PM2 trades$41 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-26
05-04
09-04
01-10
02-19
04-08
05-29

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 346 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
32.7% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.69/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L11.4 / M14.3 / H74.3