@petersonmichael

#1,531,68210

0x9ffab3da69b7b13c364ab338079dca4870350bd3

~35d· 64 markets · 140 tradesVol: $6,9312026-08-04 23:03:21
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

10
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

38% (24/64)3.8/20
0.38x (win $2 / loss $6)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -3.7770/15
Sortino -3.8480/10
$-0.0011 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 2861 (64 markets)0/10
19/34 profitable days (56%)6.5/10
Max DD 562% of peak ($5 / $1)0/10

Badges

1
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

6
⚽ SPORTS#1,021,628$-2Vol: $5,337
🎭 CULTURE#495,333$-1Vol: $1,382
💰 FINANCE#194,986$0Vol: $143
₿ CRYPTO#905,991$-2Vol: $64
🏛️ POLITICS#552,789$0Vol: $4
🌤️ WEATHER#150,700$0Vol: $1

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-4
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$6,931
Total Redeem
$20
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
64
total markets
Trades
79B / 61S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~35d

Periods

#2
Today
$-0
Vol: $0
Week
$-0
Vol: $0
Month
$-0
Vol: $0
All Time
$-4
Vol: $6,931

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
38%
24W / 40L events
Realized PnL
$-4
Win Rate
38%
24W / 40L
Profit Factor
0.38x
Avg Win
$0
Avg Loss
$-0

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1 (0.3202247191011236% of PnL)

Top Winners

Hawks vs. Spurs$0
Broncos vs. Chargers$0
Avalanche vs. Sharks$0
Will Ethereum dip to $2000 in October?$0
Kings vs. Flyers$0
Cardinals vs. Panthers$0
Bitcoin above $97,000 on January 10?$0
Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at >$7,200 in January?$0
Solana above $200 on February 21?$0
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $160 in July?$0

Top Losers

Will ETHBTC be less than .028 on February 7?$-2
Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2025 NBA Finals?$-1
Will the Sacramento Kings win the 2025 NBA Finals?$-1
Will Iceland win Eurovision 2025?$-1
Warriors vs. Timberwolves$-0
Bucks vs. Cavaliers$-0
Utah vs. Wild$-0
Trail Blazers vs. Spurs$-0
Hornets vs. 76ers$-0
Kraken vs. Blackhawks$-0

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.195
Sortino
-0.110
HHI
2713
Concentrated
EV per $1
$-0.001
Kelly %
24.0%
Half-Kelly
12.0%
Top-1 market
42.4%
Top-5 markets
86.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.2
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
10:00 UTC
Median Gap
10.8m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.5h
between trades
Night Trading
30%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.65
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.9

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 646s — normal for humanCV 3.65 — diverse sizes (human-like)30% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock0 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal33% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 10:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.19
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0%
Mid (20-55c)27.8%
High (>55c)72.2%

Sessions

#12
3/31/2025, 11:23:31 PM1 trades$6930 min
4/1/2025, 12:58:01 AM1 trades$6930 min
3/31/2025, 11:50:45 PM1 trades$6930 min
4/1/2025, 1:22:59 AM1 trades$6920 min
4/1/2025, 2:53:31 AM1 trades$6870 min
4/1/2025, 3:43:50 AM1 trades$6860 min
3/31/2025, 10:18:45 PM2 trades$6841 min
3/31/2025, 8:11:01 PM1 trades$6820 min
12/18/2024, 6:12:08 PM4 trades$465 min
12/18/2024, 8:15:36 AM4 trades$443 min
12/18/2024, 10:19:25 AM3 trades$422 min
5/24/2026, 1:46:39 AM2 trades$350 min
12/20/2024, 6:10:14 PM2 trades$333 min
12/17/2024, 3:48:11 PM5 trades$245 min
10/17/2025, 1:19:43 AM1 trades$200 min
12/19/2024, 10:44:34 AM2 trades$203 min
12/18/2024, 9:07:24 PM1 trades$200 min
12/18/2024, 9:20:42 PM1 trades$200 min
11/27/2025, 10:22:23 PM1 trades$190 min
1/25/2026, 8:52:40 AM1 trades$190 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-17
01-08
01-29
03-14
05-24
10-17
04-25

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 104 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
43.6% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.19/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L0 / M27.8 / H72.2