@pgmusk
#3,057,258220xe9e7c2b02143bc668c4377dc8872f8477c654697
~78d· 667 markets · 3961 tradesVol: $647,8442026-08-04 20:05:24
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
22
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
47% (316/666)8.7/20
0.86x (win $81,194 / loss $94,430)0.7/15
Annualised Sharpe -2.6020/15
Sortino -3.2040/10
$-0.0633 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 43 (666 markets)10/10
30/78 profitable days (38%)2.1/10
Max DD 1414% of peak ($19,756 / $1,397)0/10
Badges
5DCA Master
Avg 6.1 entries/market
Whale
$209,220 invested
High Roller
$1,937/day
Win Streak
7 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
Categories
3⚽ SPORTS#1,877,984$-8,535Vol: $472,464
₿ CRYPTO#1,612,587$-871Vol: $152,980
🏛️ POLITICS#127,330$22Vol: $22,400
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-9,384
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$647,844
Total Redeem
$130
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
667
total markets
Trades
1338B / 2623S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~78d
Periods
#2Week
$-246
Vol: $7,357
Month
$-741
Vol: $9,565
All Time
$-9,384
Vol: $647,844
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
47%
316W / 350L events
Realized PnL
$-9,384
Win Rate
47%
316W / 350L
Profit Factor
0.86x
Avg Win
$257
Avg Loss
$-293
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $11,451 (1.2203236662567378% of PnL)
Top Winners
Colombia vs. Portugal: O/U 0.5$6,460
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?$2,604
Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 0.5$2,387
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-25?$2,200
Will Orlando City SC win on 2026-05-02?$1,882
Scotland vs. Brazil: O/U 3.5$1,860
Türkiye vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5$1,820
South Africa vs. Korea Republic: 1st Half O/U 0.5$1,577
Tunisia vs. Netherlands: O/U 4.5$1,548
Ecuador vs. Curaçao: O/U 0.5$1,384
Top Losers
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?$-3,724
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?$-3,620
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-15?$-3,280
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?$-2,039
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?$-1,974
Czechia vs. Mexico: O/U 2.5$-1,938
Croatia vs. Ghana: O/U 1.5$-1,437
Fortaleza EC vs. América FC: O/U 2.5$-1,386
CD Nacional vs. Vitória SC: O/U 1.5$-1,262
Czechia leading at halftime?$-1,233
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.135
Sortino
-0.164
HHI
55
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.061
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
3%
Top-5 markets
9.6%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
36.7
Active
Markets / Day
6.2
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
23:00 UTC
Median Gap
11.8m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.2h
between trades
Night Trading
34%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.37
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
9.5
Bot Detection
#645
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 705s — normal for humanCV 1.37 — diverse sizes (human-like)34% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock37 trades/day — high frequency6.2 markets/day — normal34% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 23:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
6.07
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)8.9%
Mid (20-55c)25.7%
High (>55c)65.4%
Sessions
#126/25/2026, 9:59:16 PM11 trades$10,3232 min
6/24/2026, 11:03:23 PM6 trades$8,2222 min
6/25/2026, 1:04:44 AM28 trades$6,75113 min
6/25/2026, 9:21:49 PM31 trades$5,4859 min
6/25/2026, 1:50:22 AM4 trades$4,7220 min
6/23/2026, 7:02:05 PM2 trades$4,4620 min
6/26/2026, 12:05:34 AM20 trades$4,1446 min
6/16/2026, 11:37:11 PM22 trades$3,59311 min
6/24/2026, 8:59:53 PM6 trades$3,5891 min
6/16/2026, 3:01:37 AM14 trades$3,2365 min
6/27/2026, 1:51:44 AM5 trades$3,1901 min
6/28/2026, 2:44:49 AM3 trades$3,0820 min
6/24/2026, 11:56:01 PM3 trades$3,0400 min
6/24/2026, 11:41:46 PM13 trades$3,0246 min
6/15/2026, 11:50:07 PM21 trades$2,94010 min
6/23/2026, 4:38:05 AM6 trades$2,8512 min
6/25/2026, 2:39:05 AM4 trades$2,8001 min
6/26/2026, 8:42:52 PM10 trades$2,6977 min
6/23/2026, 4:18:23 AM9 trades$2,6782 min
5/27/2026, 2:40:19 PM94 trades$2,6775 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-18
05-02
05-16
05-29
06-13
06-26
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 54 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
66.2% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 6.07/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L8.9 / M25.7 / H65.4