@pilety

#154,41990

0xf404396c9f4d02fc564afd64bf3a41c23b129635

~56d· 54 markets · 183 tradesVol: $43,6172026-08-05 18:25:55
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

90
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

92% (46/50)20/20
4.20x (win $315 / loss $75)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 9.28515/15
Sortino 32.95510/10
$+0.0079 per $1 invested0.4/10
HHI 317 (50 markets)10/10
36/39 profitable days (92%)10/10
Max DD 9% of peak ($22 / $240)10/10

Badges

6
Sniper
Win rate 92%
Profitable
PnL $+264
Consistent
36/39 profitable days
Cool Head
Max DD 9%
Win Streak
20 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
23/24 hours active

Categories

5
₿ CRYPTO#73,701$155Vol: $24,149
💰 FINANCE#26,630$48Vol: $7,494
📈 ECONOMICS#25,113$27Vol: $5,843
🏛️ POLITICS#111,832$31Vol: $5,693
💻 TECH#30,416$3Vol: $45

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$264
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$43,617
Total Redeem
$626
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
54
total markets
Trades
77B / 106S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~56d

Periods

#2
Today
$1
Vol: $0
Week
$12
Vol: $0
Month
$17
Vol: $0
All Time
$264
Vol: $43,617

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
92%
46W / 4L events
Realized PnL
$264
Win Rate
92%
46W / 4L
Profit Factor
4.2x
Avg Win
$7
Avg Loss
$-25

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $144 (0.5449353203721915% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Zcash hit $1000 by December 31?$68
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?$51
Will Trump pardon SBF by July 31?$25
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?$25
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$20
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?$15
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?$9
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?$8
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of February?$8
Will NVIDIA dip to $144 in November?$8

Top Losers

Will Discord not IPO by June 30, 2026?$-73
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$-2
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$-0

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.480
Sortino
0.427
HHI
442
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.007
Kelly %
36.3%
Half-Kelly
18.1%
Top-1 market
10.8%
Top-5 markets
32.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.7
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
23/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
2:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.9m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.0h
between trades
Night Trading
31%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.74
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.0

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 234s — normal for humanCV 0.74 — diverse sizes (human-like)31% night trades — never sleeps23/24 hours — around the clock1 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal56% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 2:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.66
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0%
Mid (20-55c)1.3%
High (>55c)98.7%

Sessions

#12
3/24/2026, 1:59:13 PM2 trades$1,8870 min
3/12/2026, 11:48:45 AM3 trades$1,8701 min
4/7/2026, 7:10:29 AM9 trades$1,8611 min
2/24/2026, 5:16:16 AM5 trades$1,7871 min
5/24/2026, 1:17:10 PM2 trades$1,6410 min
5/31/2026, 1:09:50 PM2 trades$1,3820 min
7/15/2026, 6:49:56 AM9 trades$1,3691 min
3/25/2026, 11:19:51 PM1 trades$9460 min
3/27/2026, 12:53:35 AM4 trades$9464 min
3/13/2026, 6:21:03 AM1 trades$9370 min
3/14/2026, 8:14:37 AM1 trades$9370 min
2/13/2026, 11:56:13 AM4 trades$9140 min
2/12/2026, 5:45:31 PM1 trades$9140 min
2/11/2026, 2:00:17 AM2 trades$9090 min
2/11/2026, 11:50:01 AM1 trades$9090 min
3/7/2026, 2:30:31 AM1 trades$9080 min
2/11/2026, 1:35:03 AM1 trades$9070 min
3/4/2026, 4:03:01 PM1 trades$9050 min
3/3/2026, 2:21:07 PM1 trades$9040 min
2/27/2026, 8:03:41 AM1 trades$9020 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-22
11-10
01-03
02-26
03-24
05-25
06-29

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 9 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
57.9% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.66/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L0 / M1.3 / H98.7