pipernas

@pipernas

#147,78757

0x412d45c2e64e23b8685e6bca53221ec8e42c8fd4

~31d· 31 markets · 68 tradesVol: $15,9342026-08-04 22:09:17
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

57
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

27% (7/26)0/20
5.69x (win $412 / loss $73)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 5.92515/15
Sortino 30.27610/10
$+0.0334 per $1 invested1.7/10
HHI 1362 (26 markets)5.7/10
7/25 profitable days (28%)0/10
Max DD 12% of peak ($41 / $353)10/10

Badges

2
Profitable
PnL $+291
Cool Head
Max DD 12%

Categories

4
🏛️ POLITICS#1,131,132$-5Vol: $7,407
SPORTS#72,900$298Vol: $6,225
🎭 CULTURE#591,101$-2Vol: $2,301
CRYPTO#669,149$0Vol: $2

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$291
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$15,934
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
31
total markets
Trades
38B / 30S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~31d

Periods

#2
Today
$0
Vol: $0
Week
$0
Vol: $0
Month
$0
Vol: $0
All Time
$291
Vol: $15,934

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
27%
7W / 19L events
Realized PnL
$291
Win Rate
27%
7W / 19L
Profit Factor
5.69x
Avg Win
$59
Avg Loss
$-4

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $385 (1.3213672277567845% of PnL)

Top Winners

Chargers vs. Texans$150
Vikings vs. Rams$134
Notre Dame vs. Penn State$101
Rockets vs. Kings$23
Marlins vs. Brewers$5
Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2025 NBA Finals?$0
Will Bitcoin dip to $60K in June?$0

Top Losers

Lakers vs. Heat$-40
WNBA: Liberty vs. Aces Game 3$-11
Rangers vs. Blue Jays$-10
Pirates vs. Brewers$-6
GOP wins popular vote by 0-1%?$-2
Will Elon tweet 550-574 times Jan 3-Jan 10?$-1
Will the New York Islanders win the 2025 President’s Trophy?$-1
Will Elon tweet 800 or more times March 7-14?$-1
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2025 NBA Finals?$-0
Will Real Madrid win the UEFA Champions League?$-0

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.304
Sortino
1.385
HHI
4
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.721
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
1.1%
Top-5 markets
3.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.1
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.0
Active Hours
16/24
Extended
Peak Hour
14:00 UTC
Median Gap
5.4h
between trades
Avg Gap
7.3h
between trades
Night Trading
6%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.57
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
49
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.4

Bot Detection

#6
0
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 19564s — normal for humanCV 1.57 — diverse sizes (human-like)6% night trades — normal pattern16/24 hours — normal schedule0 trades/day — normal0.0 markets/day — normal15% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 14:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.62
Single entry

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)15.8%
Mid (20-55c)31.6%
High (>55c)52.6%

Sessions

#12
7/29/2026, 2:41:39 PM9 trades$2,4162 min
7/30/2026, 8:39:21 PM4 trades$1,9134 min
7/28/2026, 4:16:31 PM2 trades$9950 min
7/29/2026, 9:48:51 PM2 trades$9900 min
7/30/2026, 10:06:15 AM2 trades$9900 min
7/29/2026, 9:41:38 PM3 trades$9780 min
7/30/2026, 5:59:15 PM2 trades$9710 min
7/31/2026, 4:02:41 PM2 trades$9420 min
1/9/2025, 12:21:39 AM2 trades$1115 min
1/13/2025, 4:29:35 AM1 trades$1050 min
1/10/2025, 8:23:48 AM1 trades$1040 min
12/4/2024, 12:57:23 PM1 trades$400 min
12/2/2024, 10:28:16 AM1 trades$240 min
10/4/2024, 8:51:03 AM1 trades$110 min
8/15/2025, 1:04:48 PM1 trades$100 min
6/25/2025, 11:46:23 AM1 trades$60 min
5/8/2025, 7:25:59 AM1 trades$60 min
5/8/2025, 11:57:47 AM1 trades$60 min
4/16/2025, 7:57:54 AM1 trades$50 min
4/16/2025, 12:26:07 PM1 trades$50 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-04
01-09
03-13
04-16
05-02
05-13
08-15

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 14 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
44.1% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.62/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L15.8 / M31.6 / H52.6