@plm16

#148,75731

0xc7398f28fafade9bec542eb444b0f3788a96e55d

~36d· 183 markets · 928 tradesVol: $46,1752026-08-04 17:19:06
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

31
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

85% (155/182)20/20
0.90x (win $322 / loss $357)1.3/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.6400/15
Sortino -0.7480/10
$-0.0054 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 3573 (182 markets)0/10
29/36 profitable days (81%)10/10
Max DD 120% of peak ($211 / $176)0/10

Badges

6
Sniper
Win rate 85%
Profitable
PnL $+287
DCA Master
Avg 5.0 entries/market
Consistent
29/36 profitable days
Win Streak
14 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

1
🌤️ WEATHER#3,957$287Vol: $46,175

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$287
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$46,175
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
183
total markets
Trades
369B / 559S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~36d

Periods

#2
Today
$-23
Vol: $1,099
Week
$-21
Vol: $20,480
Month
$-42
Vol: $22,175
All Time
$287
Vol: $46,175

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
85%
153W / 26L events
Realized PnL
$287
Win Rate
85%
153W / 26L
Profit Factor
0.9x
Avg Win
$2
Avg Loss
$-32

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $34 (0.11793800069662137% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on August 3?$13
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on July 30?$11
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on July 31?$10
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on June 25?$8
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 96-97°F on July 30?$7
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on July 30?$6
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on July 31?$6
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C on June 23?$6
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 35°C on July 31?$5
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 23°C on June 22?$5

Top Losers

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 23°C or below on August 2?$-105
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on August 4?$-86
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 35°C on June 28?$-31
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 40°C on June 27?$-31
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on June 27?$-27
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 86-87°F on July 3?$-23
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on June 29?$-18
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on June 29?$-16
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 16?$-15
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 22°C on August 3?$-6

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.033
Sortino
-0.028
HHI
80
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.005
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
1.9%
Top-5 markets
9.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
19.7
Active
Markets / Day
3.9
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
15:00 UTC
Median Gap
44.9m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.9h
between trades
Night Trading
15%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.73
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.1

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 2692s — normal for humanCV 0.73 — diverse sizes (human-like)15% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock20 trades/day — very active3.9 markets/day — normal40% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 15:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
5.04
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)3.5%
Mid (20-55c)0%
High (>55c)96.5%

Sessions

#12
8/2/2026, 8:49:51 PM47 trades$14,2930 min
7/31/2026, 8:19:36 AM5 trades$1883 min
6/20/2026, 4:56:23 PM10 trades$1425 min
7/30/2026, 3:34:23 PM3 trades$1290 min
7/30/2026, 10:01:14 PM2 trades$1260 min
7/31/2026, 10:03:51 AM2 trades$1240 min
7/30/2026, 4:57:02 PM3 trades$1220 min
7/31/2026, 10:51:56 AM2 trades$1220 min
7/31/2026, 2:34:39 AM3 trades$1220 min
7/31/2026, 6:01:24 AM3 trades$1160 min
6/19/2026, 5:58:14 PM8 trades$1083 min
6/19/2026, 6:58:10 PM8 trades$1033 min
8/3/2026, 3:32:45 PM4 trades$1000 min
8/4/2026, 9:11:50 AM5 trades$890 min
7/30/2026, 2:23:35 PM5 trades$870 min
6/20/2026, 6:08:49 PM4 trades$820 min
6/20/2026, 2:04:01 AM5 trades$823 min
6/19/2026, 11:13:46 PM4 trades$822 min
8/3/2026, 8:30:17 AM4 trades$810 min
6/20/2026, 7:06:55 PM4 trades$801 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-19
06-25
07-01
07-16
07-22
07-29
08-04

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 39 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
WEATHER
100% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
60.2% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 5.04/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L3.5 / M0 / H96.5